**Trader consensus on a 26°C low for Hong Kong on August 14 rests on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily minimum reading, which aligned precisely with that threshold amid post-heatwave cooling.** Persistent high pressure and typhoon-influenced southerly flow drove record daytime maxima earlier in the month, yet overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers on the 14th produced a modest drop to 26°C—the first notable relief after nine consecutive days above 33°C. This value sits near the long-term August climatological minimum for the Observatory headquarters, reinforcing the market-implied outcome. A realistic challenge would require a revised HKO quality-control adjustment or station-specific microclimate discrepancy exceeding 1°C, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are confirmed. Upcoming daily extract releases could provide final verification, but current observational consensus leaves little room for alternative resolutions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 14 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 14 de agosto?
26°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,071 Vol.
$74,071 Vol.
14 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
26°C 100.0%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,071 Vol.
$74,071 Vol.
14 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
$2,697 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,022 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,030 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$10,309 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$12,003 Vol.
100%
27°C
$17,939 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,732 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8,489 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,174 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$567 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$1,108 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 26°C low for Hong Kong on August 14 rests on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily minimum reading, which aligned precisely with that threshold amid post-heatwave cooling.** Persistent high pressure and typhoon-influenced southerly flow drove record daytime maxima earlier in the month, yet overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers on the 14th produced a modest drop to 26°C—the first notable relief after nine consecutive days above 33°C. This value sits near the long-term August climatological minimum for the Observatory headquarters, reinforcing the market-implied outcome. A realistic challenge would require a revised HKO quality-control adjustment or station-specific microclimate discrepancy exceeding 1°C, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are confirmed. Upcoming daily extract releases could provide final verification, but current observational consensus leaves little room for alternative resolutions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$74,071Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus on a 26°C low for Hong Kong on August 14 rests on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily minimum reading, which aligned precisely with that threshold amid post-heatwave cooling.** Persistent high pressure and typhoon-influenced southerly flow drove record daytime maxima earlier in the month, yet overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers on the 14th produced a modest drop to 26°C—the first notable relief after nine consecutive days above 33°C. This value sits near the long-term August climatological minimum for the Observatory headquarters, reinforcing the market-implied outcome. A realistic challenge would require a revised HKO quality-control adjustment or station-specific microclimate discrepancy exceeding 1°C, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are confirmed. Upcoming daily extract releases could provide final verification, but current observational consensus leaves little room for alternative resolutions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$74,071Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on a 26°C low for Hong Kong on August 14 rests on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official daily minimum reading, which aligned precisely with that threshold amid post-heatwave cooling.** Persistent high pressure and typhoon-influenced southerly flow drove record daytime maxima earlier in the month, yet overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover and showers on the 14th produced a modest drop to 26°C—the first notable relief after nine consecutive days above 33°C. This value sits near the long-term August climatological minimum for the Observatory headquarters, reinforcing the market-implied outcome. A realistic challenge would require a revised HKO quality-control adjustment or station-specific microclimate discrepancy exceeding 1°C, though such revisions are rare once preliminary data are confirmed. Upcoming daily extract releases could provide final verification, but current observational consensus leaves little room for alternative resolutions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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