Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to Shanghai highs near 30–31°C on August 16 as the most probable outcomes, aligning with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C daytime maxima under the East Asian summer monsoon regime. Persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and potential weak frontal or convective activity are expected to moderate peak temperatures, consistent with recent model runs showing limited warming potential. Trader consensus around these levels reflects historical verification data and the narrow window for significant deviations this close to the date, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to forecast convergence on typical late-summer conditions rather than anomalous heat or cooling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 16 de agosto?
30°C 40%
31°C 26%
29°C 24%
28°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
24%
30°C
40%
31°C
26%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 40%
31°C 26%
29°C 24%
28°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
25°C or below
$324 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$38 Vol.
2%
28°C
$206 Vol.
6%
29°C
$122 Vol.
24%
30°C
$111 Vol.
40%
31°C
$399 Vol.
26%
32°C
$335 Vol.
6%
33°C
$193 Vol.
2%
34°C
$19 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$39 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to Shanghai highs near 30–31°C on August 16 as the most probable outcomes, aligning with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C daytime maxima under the East Asian summer monsoon regime. Persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and potential weak frontal or convective activity are expected to moderate peak temperatures, consistent with recent model runs showing limited warming potential. Trader consensus around these levels reflects historical verification data and the narrow window for significant deviations this close to the date, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to forecast convergence on typical late-summer conditions rather than anomalous heat or cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,811Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to Shanghai highs near 30–31°C on August 16 as the most probable outcomes, aligning with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C daytime maxima under the East Asian summer monsoon regime. Persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and potential weak frontal or convective activity are expected to moderate peak temperatures, consistent with recent model runs showing limited warming potential. Trader consensus around these levels reflects historical verification data and the narrow window for significant deviations this close to the date, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to forecast convergence on typical late-summer conditions rather than anomalous heat or cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,811Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to Shanghai highs near 30–31°C on August 16 as the most probable outcomes, aligning with mid-August climatology of 30–32°C daytime maxima under the East Asian summer monsoon regime. Persistent high humidity, scattered cloud cover, and potential weak frontal or convective activity are expected to moderate peak temperatures, consistent with recent model runs showing limited warming potential. Trader consensus around these levels reflects historical verification data and the narrow window for significant deviations this close to the date, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes due to forecast convergence on typical late-summer conditions rather than anomalous heat or cooling.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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