Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a modest high-pressure ridge over central China, with limited moisture advection from the East Asian monsoon, positioning Wuhan's August 16 maximum near 32–34 °C. Historical August climatology for Wuhan shows mean daily highs of 32–33 °C, and current observational trends from the preceding week reflect daytime peaks stabilizing in this range after earlier heat alerts. Ensemble guidance exhibits narrow spread, supporting the market's concentration on 33 °C (leading at 41 % implied probability) while assigning comparable weight to 32 °C and 34 °C. Any late-model shift in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could nudge the outcome within this narrow band before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 16 de agosto?
33°C 41%
32°C 26%
34°C 26%
31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
26%
33°C
41%
34°C
26%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 41%
32°C 26%
34°C 26%
31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
27°C or below
$199 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$28 Vol.
3%
31°C
$242 Vol.
5%
32°C
$62 Vol.
26%
33°C
$1,312 Vol.
41%
34°C
$357 Vol.
26%
35°C
$88 Vol.
5%
36°C
$371 Vol.
2%
37°C or higher
$218 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a modest high-pressure ridge over central China, with limited moisture advection from the East Asian monsoon, positioning Wuhan's August 16 maximum near 32–34 °C. Historical August climatology for Wuhan shows mean daily highs of 32–33 °C, and current observational trends from the preceding week reflect daytime peaks stabilizing in this range after earlier heat alerts. Ensemble guidance exhibits narrow spread, supporting the market's concentration on 33 °C (leading at 41 % implied probability) while assigning comparable weight to 32 °C and 34 °C. Any late-model shift in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could nudge the outcome within this narrow band before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,020Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a modest high-pressure ridge over central China, with limited moisture advection from the East Asian monsoon, positioning Wuhan's August 16 maximum near 32–34 °C. Historical August climatology for Wuhan shows mean daily highs of 32–33 °C, and current observational trends from the preceding week reflect daytime peaks stabilizing in this range after earlier heat alerts. Ensemble guidance exhibits narrow spread, supporting the market's concentration on 33 °C (leading at 41 % implied probability) while assigning comparable weight to 32 °C and 34 °C. Any late-model shift in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could nudge the outcome within this narrow band before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,020Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a modest high-pressure ridge over central China, with limited moisture advection from the East Asian monsoon, positioning Wuhan's August 16 maximum near 32–34 °C. Historical August climatology for Wuhan shows mean daily highs of 32–33 °C, and current observational trends from the preceding week reflect daytime peaks stabilizing in this range after earlier heat alerts. Ensemble guidance exhibits narrow spread, supporting the market's concentration on 33 °C (leading at 41 % implied probability) while assigning comparable weight to 32 °C and 34 °C. Any late-model shift in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover could nudge the outcome within this narrow band before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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