Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies point to a daytime high near 22–25°C in Warsaw on August 19, shaped by a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to a cooler northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover with isolated showers. This pattern follows the typical late-summer transition after earlier heat episodes and aligns with climatological norms of 23–25°C for mid-August. Model consensus remains stable in the short term, though small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could alter peak readings by 2–3°C. Traders monitor updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official IMGW guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window used for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 19 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 19 de agosto?
21°C 38%
20°C 33%
18°C 17%
22°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
17%
19°C
11%
20°C
33%
21°C
38%
22°C
16%
23°C
12%
24°C or higher
3%
21°C 38%
20°C 33%
18°C 17%
22°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
19 ago 2026
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
17%
19°C
$0 Vol.
11%
20°C
$22 Vol.
33%
21°C
$0 Vol.
38%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
12%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies point to a daytime high near 22–25°C in Warsaw on August 19, shaped by a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to a cooler northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover with isolated showers. This pattern follows the typical late-summer transition after earlier heat episodes and aligns with climatological norms of 23–25°C for mid-August. Model consensus remains stable in the short term, though small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could alter peak readings by 2–3°C. Traders monitor updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official IMGW guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$27Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies point to a daytime high near 22–25°C in Warsaw on August 19, shaped by a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to a cooler northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover with isolated showers. This pattern follows the typical late-summer transition after earlier heat episodes and aligns with climatological norms of 23–25°C for mid-August. Model consensus remains stable in the short term, though small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could alter peak readings by 2–3°C. Traders monitor updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official IMGW guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27Data de Término
19 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological agencies point to a daytime high near 22–25°C in Warsaw on August 19, shaped by a weakening high-pressure ridge giving way to a cooler northwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover with isolated showers. This pattern follows the typical late-summer transition after earlier heat episodes and aligns with climatological norms of 23–25°C for mid-August. Model consensus remains stable in the short term, though small shifts in frontal timing or boundary-layer moisture could alter peak readings by 2–3°C. Traders monitor updated ECMWF and GFS runs plus official IMGW guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window used for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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