Recent weather model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near the late-August climatological average of 20–21°C in Amsterdam, driven by moderate westerly flow off the North Sea and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This positioning explains the market's heavy weighting toward 19–21°C outcomes, as historical data show such values occur frequently in the region during the third week of August without strong high-pressure blocking. Minor model spread on cloud cover and frontal timing keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated, with updates from KNMI expected to refine the forecast ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 21 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 21 de agosto?
20°C 57%
19°C 20%
21°C 16%
22°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
5%
19°C
20%
20°C
46%
21°C
16%
22°C
11%
23°C
8%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
20°C 57%
19°C 20%
21°C 16%
22°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
21 ago 2026
15°C or below
$23 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$73 Vol.
1%
17°C
$11 Vol.
4%
18°C
$10 Vol.
5%
19°C
$91 Vol.
20%
20°C
$251 Vol.
46%
21°C
$23 Vol.
16%
22°C
$15 Vol.
11%
23°C
$5 Vol.
8%
24°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
25°C ou mais
$36 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near the late-August climatological average of 20–21°C in Amsterdam, driven by moderate westerly flow off the North Sea and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This positioning explains the market's heavy weighting toward 19–21°C outcomes, as historical data show such values occur frequently in the region during the third week of August without strong high-pressure blocking. Minor model spread on cloud cover and frontal timing keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated, with updates from KNMI expected to refine the forecast ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$558Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near the late-August climatological average of 20–21°C in Amsterdam, driven by moderate westerly flow off the North Sea and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This positioning explains the market's heavy weighting toward 19–21°C outcomes, as historical data show such values occur frequently in the region during the third week of August without strong high-pressure blocking. Minor model spread on cloud cover and frontal timing keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated, with updates from KNMI expected to refine the forecast ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$558Data de Término
21 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources like the Met Office and ECMWF points to a maximum temperature near the late-August climatological average of 20–21°C in Amsterdam, driven by moderate westerly flow off the North Sea and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. This positioning explains the market's heavy weighting toward 19–21°C outcomes, as historical data show such values occur frequently in the region during the third week of August without strong high-pressure blocking. Minor model spread on cloud cover and frontal timing keeps probabilities distributed rather than concentrated, with updates from KNMI expected to refine the forecast ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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