Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest on August 17, with highs forecast near 77–82 °F amid scattered showers, increased cloud cover, and easterly flow off Lake Michigan. These conditions limit daytime heating and align with the market’s heaviest volume on the 78–81 °F bins. Normal August highs average 82–83 °F, but the current pattern—driven by a lingering trough and modest precipitation—has shifted consensus downward by several degrees. Updated model runs through tonight and tomorrow morning will refine exact maxima, while any earlier clearing or stronger southerly winds could push readings toward the low 80s.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 17 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 17 de agosto?
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 7%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
73°F ou menos
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
4%
30-31°C
2%
88-89°F
<1%
32-32,8°C
<1%
92°F ou mais
<1%
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 16%
76-77°F 7%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
73°F ou menos
$308 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$99 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$176 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$190 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$627 Vol.
48%
82-83°F
$124 Vol.
16%
84-85°F
$91 Vol.
4%
30-31°C
$112 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$178 Vol.
<1%
32-32,8°C
$332 Vol.
<1%
92°F ou mais
$410 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest on August 17, with highs forecast near 77–82 °F amid scattered showers, increased cloud cover, and easterly flow off Lake Michigan. These conditions limit daytime heating and align with the market’s heaviest volume on the 78–81 °F bins. Normal August highs average 82–83 °F, but the current pattern—driven by a lingering trough and modest precipitation—has shifted consensus downward by several degrees. Updated model runs through tonight and tomorrow morning will refine exact maxima, while any earlier clearing or stronger southerly winds could push readings toward the low 80s.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,622Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest on August 17, with highs forecast near 77–82 °F amid scattered showers, increased cloud cover, and easterly flow off Lake Michigan. These conditions limit daytime heating and align with the market’s heaviest volume on the 78–81 °F bins. Normal August highs average 82–83 °F, but the current pattern—driven by a lingering trough and modest precipitation—has shifted consensus downward by several degrees. Updated model runs through tonight and tomorrow morning will refine exact maxima, while any earlier clearing or stronger southerly winds could push readings toward the low 80s.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,622Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance indicates a cooler-than-normal air mass over the Midwest on August 17, with highs forecast near 77–82 °F amid scattered showers, increased cloud cover, and easterly flow off Lake Michigan. These conditions limit daytime heating and align with the market’s heaviest volume on the 78–81 °F bins. Normal August highs average 82–83 °F, but the current pattern—driven by a lingering trough and modest precipitation—has shifted consensus downward by several degrees. Updated model runs through tonight and tomorrow morning will refine exact maxima, while any earlier clearing or stronger southerly winds could push readings toward the low 80s.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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