Recent model guidance from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts highlights a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting clear skies, subsidence, and strong daytime heating across the Paris basin on August 13. This setup, amid an ongoing regional heatwave with above-average soil dryness, supports afternoon maxima centered in the upper 30s °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 38 °C (39.5 %) and 37 °C (24 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and official station observations, which will resolve the market based on the single highest recorded value.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 13 de agosto?
38°C 43%
37°C 25%
39°C 16%
36°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
6%
36°C
10%
37°C
25%
38°C
43%
39°C
16%
40°C
5%
41°C
2%
42°C or higher
1%
38°C 43%
37°C 25%
39°C 16%
36°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
32°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$12 Vol.
1%
35°C
$0 Vol.
6%
36°C
$0 Vol.
10%
37°C
$0 Vol.
25%
38°C
$72 Vol.
43%
39°C
$3 Vol.
16%
40°C
$9 Vol.
5%
41°C
$15 Vol.
2%
42°C or higher
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts highlights a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting clear skies, subsidence, and strong daytime heating across the Paris basin on August 13. This setup, amid an ongoing regional heatwave with above-average soil dryness, supports afternoon maxima centered in the upper 30s °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 38 °C (39.5 %) and 37 °C (24 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and official station observations, which will resolve the market based on the single highest recorded value.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$140Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts highlights a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting clear skies, subsidence, and strong daytime heating across the Paris basin on August 13. This setup, amid an ongoing regional heatwave with above-average soil dryness, supports afternoon maxima centered in the upper 30s °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 38 °C (39.5 %) and 37 °C (24 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and official station observations, which will resolve the market based on the single highest recorded value.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$140Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model guidance from Météo-France and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts highlights a persistent high-pressure ridge over western Europe, promoting clear skies, subsidence, and strong daytime heating across the Paris basin on August 13. This setup, amid an ongoing regional heatwave with above-average soil dryness, supports afternoon maxima centered in the upper 30s °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 38 °C (39.5 %) and 37 °C (24 %). Ensemble spreads remain modest, though slight variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Traders are monitoring the next model cycles and official station observations, which will resolve the market based on the single highest recorded value.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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