Recent heatwave conditions across northern France, with Météo-France issuing yellow alerts, have driven trader consensus toward minimum temperatures of 19–22°C in Paris on August 13. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are limiting nocturnal cooling, while the urban heat island effect keeps overnight lows elevated near 22°C according to current model guidance. This contrasts with typical mid-August climatology of 15–17°C lows and explains the tight clustering around 20–21°C outcomes. Updated ensemble runs from European and global models, plus any Météo-France briefing on Thursday morning, could shift implied probabilities if winds strengthen or cloud cover increases radiative cooling overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 13 de agosto?
21°C 37%
20°C 27%
19°C 17%
22°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
18°C ou menos
5%
19°C
17%
20°C
27%
21°C
26%
22°C
15%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C ou mais
<1%
21°C 37%
20°C 27%
19°C 17%
22°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
18°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
5%
19°C
$44 Vol.
17%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$5 Vol.
26%
22°C
$139 Vol.
15%
23°C
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C
$286 Vol.
5%
25°C
$343 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$261 Vol.
2%
27°C
$12 Vol.
4%
28°C ou mais
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions across northern France, with Météo-France issuing yellow alerts, have driven trader consensus toward minimum temperatures of 19–22°C in Paris on August 13. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are limiting nocturnal cooling, while the urban heat island effect keeps overnight lows elevated near 22°C according to current model guidance. This contrasts with typical mid-August climatology of 15–17°C lows and explains the tight clustering around 20–21°C outcomes. Updated ensemble runs from European and global models, plus any Météo-France briefing on Thursday morning, could shift implied probabilities if winds strengthen or cloud cover increases radiative cooling overnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,101Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heatwave conditions across northern France, with Météo-France issuing yellow alerts, have driven trader consensus toward minimum temperatures of 19–22°C in Paris on August 13. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are limiting nocturnal cooling, while the urban heat island effect keeps overnight lows elevated near 22°C according to current model guidance. This contrasts with typical mid-August climatology of 15–17°C lows and explains the tight clustering around 20–21°C outcomes. Updated ensemble runs from European and global models, plus any Météo-France briefing on Thursday morning, could shift implied probabilities if winds strengthen or cloud cover increases radiative cooling overnight.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,101Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heatwave conditions across northern France, with Météo-France issuing yellow alerts, have driven trader consensus toward minimum temperatures of 19–22°C in Paris on August 13. Persistent high pressure and southerly flow are limiting nocturnal cooling, while the urban heat island effect keeps overnight lows elevated near 22°C according to current model guidance. This contrasts with typical mid-August climatology of 15–17°C lows and explains the tight clustering around 20–21°C outcomes. Updated ensemble runs from European and global models, plus any Météo-France briefing on Thursday morning, could shift implied probabilities if winds strengthen or cloud cover increases radiative cooling overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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