Recent ensemble guidance from ECMWF and Météo-France points to a stable warm air mass over northern France, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting a Paris minimum near 17°C on August 11. This aligns with the market's leading 17°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability, followed by 18°C and 16°C, as models show overnight lows holding above the long-term August average of 15–16°C amid continued southerly flow. A modest uptick in humidity and any increase in cloud cover could nudge readings toward 18°C, while a sharper ridge breakdown might allow 16°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal day-to-day cooling through mid-month.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 11 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 11 de agosto?
17°C 42%
18°C 20%
16°C 18%
19°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
14°C ou menos
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
18%
17°C
42%
18°C
20%
19°C
14%
20°C
5%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
17°C 42%
18°C 20%
16°C 18%
19°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
14°C ou menos
$36 Vol.
2%
15°C
$10 Vol.
6%
16°C
$60 Vol.
18%
17°C
$25 Vol.
42%
18°C
$9 Vol.
20%
19°C
$39 Vol.
14%
20°C
$9 Vol.
5%
21°C
$29 Vol.
2%
22°C
$19 Vol.
1%
23°C
$19 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou mais
$9 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble guidance from ECMWF and Météo-France points to a stable warm air mass over northern France, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting a Paris minimum near 17°C on August 11. This aligns with the market's leading 17°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability, followed by 18°C and 16°C, as models show overnight lows holding above the long-term August average of 15–16°C amid continued southerly flow. A modest uptick in humidity and any increase in cloud cover could nudge readings toward 18°C, while a sharper ridge breakdown might allow 16°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal day-to-day cooling through mid-month.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$263Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble guidance from ECMWF and Météo-France points to a stable warm air mass over northern France, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting a Paris minimum near 17°C on August 11. This aligns with the market's leading 17°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability, followed by 18°C and 16°C, as models show overnight lows holding above the long-term August average of 15–16°C amid continued southerly flow. A modest uptick in humidity and any increase in cloud cover could nudge readings toward 18°C, while a sharper ridge breakdown might allow 16°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal day-to-day cooling through mid-month.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$263Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble guidance from ECMWF and Météo-France points to a stable warm air mass over northern France, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting a Paris minimum near 17°C on August 11. This aligns with the market's leading 17°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability, followed by 18°C and 16°C, as models show overnight lows holding above the long-term August average of 15–16°C amid continued southerly flow. A modest uptick in humidity and any increase in cloud cover could nudge readings toward 18°C, while a sharper ridge breakdown might allow 16°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs showing minimal day-to-day cooling through mid-month.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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