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icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 9 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 9 de agosto?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 9 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 9 de agosto?

ago 7

ago 8

ago 9

ago 10

ago 7

ago 8

ago 9

ago 10

29°C 62%

28°C 16%

30°C 14%

27°C 11%

Polymarket
NOVO

$15,313 Vol.

29°C 62%

28°C 16%

30°C 14%

27°C 11%

Polymarket
NOVO

$15,313 Vol.

24°C ou menos

$1,115 Vol.

1%

25°C

$1,155 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$1,460 Vol.

3%

27°C

$1,188 Vol.

11%

28°C

$2,186 Vol.

16%

29°C

$2,421 Vol.

62%

30°C

$1,800 Vol.

14%

31°C

$1,597 Vol.

1%

32°C

$1,112 Vol.

1%

33°C

$752 Vol.

<1%

34°C ou mais

$526 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin and a southwesterly airstream are sustaining hot, humid conditions across Hong Kong, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 28–29 °C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for 9 August projects a minimum around 29 °C amid extremely hot daytime maxima of 34–36 °C, consistent with recent readings (27.4 °C on 8 August) and the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect further suppress drops below 28 °C, while model consensus shows little potential for stronger winds or clearer skies that could produce lower readings. These factors align with market-implied odds favoring 29 °C at 62 %.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,313
Data de Término
9 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin and a southwesterly airstream are sustaining hot, humid conditions across Hong Kong, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting overnight lows near 28–29 °C. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for 9 August projects a minimum around 29 °C amid extremely hot daytime maxima of 34–36 °C, consistent with recent readings (27.4 °C on 8 August) and the seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect further suppress drops below 28 °C, while model consensus shows little potential for stronger winds or clearer skies that could produce lower readings. These factors align with market-implied odds favoring 29 °C at 62 %.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,313
Data de Término
9 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 9 de agosto?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "29°C" at 62%, followed by "28°C" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 9 de agosto?" has generated $15.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 9 de agosto?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 9 de agosto?" is "29°C" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "28°C" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 9 de agosto?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.