Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project overnight lows of 28–29 °C for August 10 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and light winds restricting radiative cooling and supporting the near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Lingering subsidence from Typhoon Dolphin’s outer circulation helped drive record daytime heat on August 9 and may sustain elevated nighttime minima, while any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could enhance cooling and favor the lower bin. Climatological August minima average near 26–27 °C, yet the current warm, moist flow and model consensus keep trader focus tightly clustered on these two thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and extent of convective activity overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 10 de agosto?
29°C 52%
30°C 48%
31°C 6.3%
28°C 4%
$34,972 Vol.
$34,972 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
49%
30°C
48%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 52%
30°C 48%
31°C 6.3%
28°C 4%
$34,972 Vol.
$34,972 Vol.
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
49%
30°C
48%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project overnight lows of 28–29 °C for August 10 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and light winds restricting radiative cooling and supporting the near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Lingering subsidence from Typhoon Dolphin’s outer circulation helped drive record daytime heat on August 9 and may sustain elevated nighttime minima, while any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could enhance cooling and favor the lower bin. Climatological August minima average near 26–27 °C, yet the current warm, moist flow and model consensus keep trader focus tightly clustered on these two thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and extent of convective activity overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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