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icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 10 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 10 de agosto?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 10 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 10 de agosto?

29°C 52%

30°C 48%

31°C 6.3%

28°C 4%

Polymarket
NOVO

$34,972 Vol.

29°C 52%

30°C 48%

31°C 6.3%

28°C 4%

Polymarket
NOVO

$34,972 Vol.

24°C ou menos

$1,900 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$1,685 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$2,077 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$3,336 Vol.

1%

28°C

$2,332 Vol.

4%

29°C

$4,088 Vol.

49%

30°C

$5,646 Vol.

48%

31°C

$7,713 Vol.

6%

32°C

$3,268 Vol.

1%

33°C

$2,257 Vol.

<1%

34°C ou mais

$670 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project overnight lows of 28–29 °C for August 10 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and light winds restricting radiative cooling and supporting the near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Lingering subsidence from Typhoon Dolphin’s outer circulation helped drive record daytime heat on August 9 and may sustain elevated nighttime minima, while any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could enhance cooling and favor the lower bin. Climatological August minima average near 26–27 °C, yet the current warm, moist flow and model consensus keep trader focus tightly clustered on these two thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and extent of convective activity overnight.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$34,972
Data de Término
10 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project overnight lows of 28–29 °C for August 10 amid typical subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and light winds restricting radiative cooling and supporting the near-even split between the 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes. Lingering subsidence from Typhoon Dolphin’s outer circulation helped drive record daytime heat on August 9 and may sustain elevated nighttime minima, while any increase in cloud cover or scattered showers could enhance cooling and favor the lower bin. Climatological August minima average near 26–27 °C, yet the current warm, moist flow and model consensus keep trader focus tightly clustered on these two thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and extent of convective activity overnight.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$34,972
Data de Término
10 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 10 de agosto?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "29°C" at 49%, followed by "30°C" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 10 de agosto?" has generated $35K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 10 de agosto?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 10 de agosto?" is "29°C" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30°C" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 10 de agosto?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.