Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 8 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 8 de agosto?
28°C 100%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$104,225 Vol.
$104,225 Vol.
8 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Sim
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
28°C 100%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$104,225 Vol.
$104,225 Vol.
8 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
$636 Vol.
Não
23°C
$1,256 Vol.
Não
24°C
$4,298 Vol.
Não
25°C
$11,620 Vol.
Não
26°C
$6,955 Vol.
Não
27°C
$16,235 Vol.
Não
28°C
$29,034 Vol.
Sim
29°C
$27,221 Vol.
Não
30°C
$5,393 Vol.
Não
31°C
$938 Vol.
Não
32°C ou mais
$641 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$104,225Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$104,225Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official recordings from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 28°C on August 8, 2026, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. August climatology in subtropical Hong Kong typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under prevailing monsoon conditions and urban heat island effects, with recent seasonal forecasts indicating normal to above-normal temperatures through the month. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data rather than models, as post-event verification eliminates forecast uncertainty. Only an unprecedented instrumentation error or localized microclimate anomaly at the official site could realistically alter resolution, though such scenarios remain statistically negligible given established monitoring protocols.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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