Hong Kong Observatory data confirmed a daily minimum temperature of 28.9°C on August 8, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 28°C outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal overnight radiative cooling under clear, humid conditions prevented temperatures from dropping further, consistent with the ongoing regional heatwave that produced above-average August lows. Official hourly readings from the territory's primary stations showed no significant frontal passage or precipitation to enhance cooling, while ensemble models had projected similar stability days earlier. The 0.1% odds on cooler thresholds reflect the low probability of measurement discrepancies or localized microclimate effects at official sites, though revised station data or alternative definitions of "lowest" could theoretically shift resolution in edge cases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 8 de agosto?
28°C 99.9%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$103,485 Vol.
$103,485 Vol.
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 99.9%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$103,485 Vol.
$103,485 Vol.
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory data confirmed a daily minimum temperature of 28.9°C on August 8, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's dominant 28°C outcome. Persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal overnight radiative cooling under clear, humid conditions prevented temperatures from dropping further, consistent with the ongoing regional heatwave that produced above-average August lows. Official hourly readings from the territory's primary stations showed no significant frontal passage or precipitation to enhance cooling, while ensemble models had projected similar stability days earlier. The 0.1% odds on cooler thresholds reflect the low probability of measurement discrepancies or localized microclimate effects at official sites, though revised station data or alternative definitions of "lowest" could theoretically shift resolution in edge cases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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