Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 7, 2026, aligning with typical August nocturnal lows of 26–28°C amid prevailing humid subtropical conditions and weak monsoon influence. Historical climatology shows summer minima rarely dip below 25°C without significant cooling from typhoon remnants or strengthened northeast flow, supporting the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 27°C. Traders weighted real-time station data and model consensus over seasonal norms, with minimal volatility reflecting low uncertainty once readings were verified. A credible challenge would require revised official records from primary urban or airport stations, though such adjustments are infrequent after initial quality control.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 7 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong no dia 7 de agosto?
27°C 99.9%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,928 Vol.
$57,928 Vol.
7 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 99.9%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$57,928 Vol.
$57,928 Vol.
7 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
$537 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$607 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,334 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,789 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$9,360 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$16,530 Vol.
100%
28°C
$12,737 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,889 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,618 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou mais
$737 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 7, 2026, aligning with typical August nocturnal lows of 26–28°C amid prevailing humid subtropical conditions and weak monsoon influence. Historical climatology shows summer minima rarely dip below 25°C without significant cooling from typhoon remnants or strengthened northeast flow, supporting the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 27°C. Traders weighted real-time station data and model consensus over seasonal norms, with minimal volatility reflecting low uncertainty once readings were verified. A credible challenge would require revised official records from primary urban or airport stations, though such adjustments are infrequent after initial quality control.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$57,928Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 7, 2026, aligning with typical August nocturnal lows of 26–28°C amid prevailing humid subtropical conditions and weak monsoon influence. Historical climatology shows summer minima rarely dip below 25°C without significant cooling from typhoon remnants or strengthened northeast flow, supporting the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 27°C. Traders weighted real-time station data and model consensus over seasonal norms, with minimal volatility reflecting low uncertainty once readings were verified. A credible challenge would require revised official records from primary urban or airport stations, though such adjustments are infrequent after initial quality control.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,928Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 27°C on August 7, 2026, aligning with typical August nocturnal lows of 26–28°C amid prevailing humid subtropical conditions and weak monsoon influence. Historical climatology shows summer minima rarely dip below 25°C without significant cooling from typhoon remnants or strengthened northeast flow, supporting the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for 27°C. Traders weighted real-time station data and model consensus over seasonal norms, with minimal volatility reflecting low uncertainty once readings were verified. A credible challenge would require revised official records from primary urban or airport stations, though such adjustments are infrequent after initial quality control.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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