Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Milan’s August 9 maximum near 33–35 °C, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting warm southerly flow and limited cloud cover across the Po Valley. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 34 °C (45.5 %), followed by 33 °C and 35 °C. Above-normal Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures from the record-hot June–July 2026 period have enhanced heat advection, while local urban heat-island effects and low soil moisture amplify daytime peaks relative to the long-term August mean of ~28–30 °C. Minor model spread in timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing keeps the 32–36 °C range viable, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational update from Italian meteorological services.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 9 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 9 de agosto?
34°C 46%
33°C 25%
35°C 20%
32°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
8%
33°C
25%
34°C
46%
35°C
20%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 46%
33°C 25%
35°C 20%
32°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
30°C or below
$24 Vol.
1%
31°C
$24 Vol.
4%
32°C
$3 Vol.
8%
33°C
$6 Vol.
25%
34°C
$6 Vol.
46%
35°C
$16 Vol.
20%
36°C
$2 Vol.
3%
37°C
$12 Vol.
2%
38°C
$5 Vol.
1%
39°C
$5 Vol.
1%
40°C or higher
$124 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Milan’s August 9 maximum near 33–35 °C, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting warm southerly flow and limited cloud cover across the Po Valley. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 34 °C (45.5 %), followed by 33 °C and 35 °C. Above-normal Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures from the record-hot June–July 2026 period have enhanced heat advection, while local urban heat-island effects and low soil moisture amplify daytime peaks relative to the long-term August mean of ~28–30 °C. Minor model spread in timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing keeps the 32–36 °C range viable, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational update from Italian meteorological services.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$227Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Milan’s August 9 maximum near 33–35 °C, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting warm southerly flow and limited cloud cover across the Po Valley. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 34 °C (45.5 %), followed by 33 °C and 35 °C. Above-normal Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures from the record-hot June–July 2026 period have enhanced heat advection, while local urban heat-island effects and low soil moisture amplify daytime peaks relative to the long-term August mean of ~28–30 °C. Minor model spread in timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing keeps the 32–36 °C range viable, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational update from Italian meteorological services.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$227Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models position Milan’s August 9 maximum near 33–35 °C, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting warm southerly flow and limited cloud cover across the Po Valley. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 34 °C (45.5 %), followed by 33 °C and 35 °C. Above-normal Mediterranean sea-surface temperatures from the record-hot June–July 2026 period have enhanced heat advection, while local urban heat-island effects and low soil moisture amplify daytime peaks relative to the long-term August mean of ~28–30 °C. Minor model spread in timing of any weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing keeps the 32–36 °C range viable, with resolution hinging on the final 48-hour observational update from Italian meteorological services.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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