Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a strong high-pressure system and clear skies with minimal precipitation expected, position 35°C and 36°C as the leading market outcomes for Incheon’s August 7 maximum temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration heatwave warnings cover Seoul and Incheon regions, with recent daily highs reaching 34°C on August 4 and model guidance indicating potential peaks near 37–38°C amid temperatures 5°C above seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5% and 25.5% implied probabilities for 35°C and 36°C respectively, aligns with ensemble forecasts showing limited cooling from light easterly winds and high humidity. Updated KMA briefings and numerical weather prediction runs through August 6 will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 7 de agosto?
35°C 37%
36°C 26%
34°C 17%
37°C 10.8%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
17%
35°C
37%
36°C
26%
37°C
11%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 37%
36°C 26%
34°C 17%
37°C 10.8%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
17%
35°C
37%
36°C
26%
37°C
11%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a strong high-pressure system and clear skies with minimal precipitation expected, position 35°C and 36°C as the leading market outcomes for Incheon’s August 7 maximum temperature. Official Korea Meteorological Administration heatwave warnings cover Seoul and Incheon regions, with recent daily highs reaching 34°C on August 4 and model guidance indicating potential peaks near 37–38°C amid temperatures 5°C above seasonal norms. Trader consensus, reflected in the 36.5% and 25.5% implied probabilities for 35°C and 36°C respectively, aligns with ensemble forecasts showing limited cooling from light easterly winds and high humidity. Updated KMA briefings and numerical weather prediction runs through August 6 will refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum observation window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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