Recent JMA seasonal guidance and extended-range models indicate above-normal temperatures persisting into early August 2026 across the Kanto region, driven by a strong subtropical high and limited nocturnal cooling under humid, partly cloudy conditions. For Tokyo specifically, overnight minimums on August 7 are projected near 26–27 °C, with urban heat-island effects and reduced radiative losses under high dew points supporting the slightly warmer side of that range. Historical climatology places typical early-August lows around 24–25 °C, but current atmospheric setup favors limited overnight drops, leaving the 26 °C versus 27 °C threshold sensitive to small forecast adjustments in cloud cover or boundary-layer winds ahead of the next model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 7 de agosto?
27°C 51%
26°C 46%
25°C 10%
28°C 9%
22°C ou menos
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
10%
26°C
46%
27°C
51%
28°C
9%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
1%
27°C 51%
26°C 46%
25°C 10%
28°C 9%
22°C ou menos
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
10%
26°C
46%
27°C
51%
28°C
9%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JMA seasonal guidance and extended-range models indicate above-normal temperatures persisting into early August 2026 across the Kanto region, driven by a strong subtropical high and limited nocturnal cooling under humid, partly cloudy conditions. For Tokyo specifically, overnight minimums on August 7 are projected near 26–27 °C, with urban heat-island effects and reduced radiative losses under high dew points supporting the slightly warmer side of that range. Historical climatology places typical early-August lows around 24–25 °C, but current atmospheric setup favors limited overnight drops, leaving the 26 °C versus 27 °C threshold sensitive to small forecast adjustments in cloud cover or boundary-layer winds ahead of the next model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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