Current forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency project overnight lows in Tokyo near 25–26°C for August 6 amid typical summer humidity near 75–80% and possible scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects from concrete and asphalt further moderate nighttime temperature drops compared with rural baselines, while light winds and cloud cover reduce the chance of sharper declines below 24°C. Historical August averages for the city hover around 24–25°C, supporting the tight market split between the two leading outcomes as traders weigh model consensus against potential local variations at official measurement sites.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 6 de agosto?
25°C 47%
26°C 42%
24°C 4%
23°C 2%
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
47%
26°C
42%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 47%
26°C 42%
24°C 4%
23°C 2%
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
47%
26°C
42%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency project overnight lows in Tokyo near 25–26°C for August 6 amid typical summer humidity near 75–80% and possible scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Urban heat island effects from concrete and asphalt further moderate nighttime temperature drops compared with rural baselines, while light winds and cloud cover reduce the chance of sharper declines below 24°C. Historical August averages for the city hover around 24–25°C, supporting the tight market split between the two leading outcomes as traders weigh model consensus against potential local variations at official measurement sites.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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