Recent regional meteorological model runs position 33–34°C as the leading outcomes for Shenzhen’s August 6 daily maximum, aligning with the subtropical monsoon climate’s early-August climatology of roughly 32°C average highs. Ensemble guidance shows modest warming from current conditions near 31–32°C, supported by limited cloud cover and light winds, though scattered showers could cap peaks. Historical data indicate temperatures rarely exceed 35°C without a heat dome or typhoon influence, keeping higher brackets at low implied probabilities. Updated forecast releases from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 6 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 6 de agosto?
34°C 38%
33°C 27%
32°C 14%
35°C 9.6%
NOVO
$46,585 Vol.
NOVO
$46,585 Vol.
6 ago 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
27%
34°C
38%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C ou mais
<1%
34°C 38%
33°C 27%
32°C 14%
35°C 9.6%
NOVO
$46,585 Vol.
NOVO
$46,585 Vol.
6 ago 2026
28°C ou menos
$1,435 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,668 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,113 Vol.
1%
31°C
$5,534 Vol.
5%
32°C
$1,974 Vol.
14%
33°C
$9,124 Vol.
27%
34°C
$4,383 Vol.
38%
35°C
$9,708 Vol.
10%
36°C
$5,364 Vol.
3%
37°C
$1,867 Vol.
1%
38°C ou mais
$3,417 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent regional meteorological model runs position 33–34°C as the leading outcomes for Shenzhen’s August 6 daily maximum, aligning with the subtropical monsoon climate’s early-August climatology of roughly 32°C average highs. Ensemble guidance shows modest warming from current conditions near 31–32°C, supported by limited cloud cover and light winds, though scattered showers could cap peaks. Historical data indicate temperatures rarely exceed 35°C without a heat dome or typhoon influence, keeping higher brackets at low implied probabilities. Updated forecast releases from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$46,585Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent regional meteorological model runs position 33–34°C as the leading outcomes for Shenzhen’s August 6 daily maximum, aligning with the subtropical monsoon climate’s early-August climatology of roughly 32°C average highs. Ensemble guidance shows modest warming from current conditions near 31–32°C, supported by limited cloud cover and light winds, though scattered showers could cap peaks. Historical data indicate temperatures rarely exceed 35°C without a heat dome or typhoon influence, keeping higher brackets at low implied probabilities. Updated forecast releases from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46,585Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent regional meteorological model runs position 33–34°C as the leading outcomes for Shenzhen’s August 6 daily maximum, aligning with the subtropical monsoon climate’s early-August climatology of roughly 32°C average highs. Ensemble guidance shows modest warming from current conditions near 31–32°C, supported by limited cloud cover and light winds, though scattered showers could cap peaks. Historical data indicate temperatures rarely exceed 35°C without a heat dome or typhoon influence, keeping higher brackets at low implied probabilities. Updated forecast releases from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24 hours represent the key near-term catalyst that could shift trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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