Short-term ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature near 27°C in Toronto on August 4, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and modest humidity. This places the market-implied probability peak at 26–28°C because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Climatological normals for early August hover around 26°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average without strong high-pressure amplification. Updated runs overnight and morning surface observations will be the key catalysts that could tighten or widen the spread among these closely matched outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 4 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Toronto no dia 4 de agosto?
27°C 37%
28°C 29%
26°C 17%
29°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
17%
27°C
37%
28°C
29%
29°C
12%
30°C
3%
31°C ou mais
10%
27°C 37%
28°C 29%
26°C 17%
29°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
21°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$39 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C
$10 Vol.
2%
25°C
$40 Vol.
11%
26°C
$64 Vol.
17%
27°C
$0 Vol.
37%
28°C
$0 Vol.
29%
29°C
$13 Vol.
12%
30°C
$55 Vol.
3%
31°C ou mais
$15 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature near 27°C in Toronto on August 4, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and modest humidity. This places the market-implied probability peak at 26–28°C because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Climatological normals for early August hover around 26°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average without strong high-pressure amplification. Updated runs overnight and morning surface observations will be the key catalysts that could tighten or widen the spread among these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$237Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature near 27°C in Toronto on August 4, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and modest humidity. This places the market-implied probability peak at 26–28°C because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Climatological normals for early August hover around 26°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average without strong high-pressure amplification. Updated runs overnight and morning surface observations will be the key catalysts that could tighten or widen the spread among these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$237Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF point to a maximum temperature near 27°C in Toronto on August 4, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly flow and modest humidity. This places the market-implied probability peak at 26–28°C because small differences in cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island effects can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Climatological normals for early August hover around 26°C, so current guidance sits slightly above average without strong high-pressure amplification. Updated runs overnight and morning surface observations will be the key catalysts that could tighten or widen the spread among these closely matched outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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