Latest forecast model runs from the National Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a moderating marine layer and onshore flow will likely cap daytime highs in downtown Los Angeles near 80–82°F on August 2, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 36.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and sea-breeze effects have kept recent daily maxima 2–4°F below seasonal normals, while ensemble spread remains modest for the 24-hour outlook. Any weakening of the inversion or delayed marine push could shift the peak into the 82–83°F range, though probabilities for 84°F or higher stay low at under 10% combined. Traders are weighting these near-term guidance updates heavily ahead of final NWS verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Los Angeles no dia 2 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Los Angeles no dia 2 de agosto?
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 17%
77°F ou menos 16%
NOVO
NOVO
2 ago 2026
77°F ou menos
16%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
6%
30-31°C
2%
88-89°F
1%
32-33°C
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F ou mais
<1%
80-81°F 37%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 17%
77°F ou menos 16%
NOVO
NOVO
2 ago 2026
77°F ou menos
$529 Vol.
16%
78-79°F
$208 Vol.
28%
80-81°F
$482 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$328 Vol.
17%
84-85°F
$176 Vol.
6%
30-31°C
$115 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$11 Vol.
1%
32-33°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$125 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$125 Vol.
<1%
96°F ou mais
$125 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model runs from the National Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a moderating marine layer and onshore flow will likely cap daytime highs in downtown Los Angeles near 80–82°F on August 2, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 36.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and sea-breeze effects have kept recent daily maxima 2–4°F below seasonal normals, while ensemble spread remains modest for the 24-hour outlook. Any weakening of the inversion or delayed marine push could shift the peak into the 82–83°F range, though probabilities for 84°F or higher stay low at under 10% combined. Traders are weighting these near-term guidance updates heavily ahead of final NWS verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,233Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model runs from the National Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a moderating marine layer and onshore flow will likely cap daytime highs in downtown Los Angeles near 80–82°F on August 2, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 36.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and sea-breeze effects have kept recent daily maxima 2–4°F below seasonal normals, while ensemble spread remains modest for the 24-hour outlook. Any weakening of the inversion or delayed marine push could shift the peak into the 82–83°F range, though probabilities for 84°F or higher stay low at under 10% combined. Traders are weighting these near-term guidance updates heavily ahead of final NWS verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,233Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast model runs from the National Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a moderating marine layer and onshore flow will likely cap daytime highs in downtown Los Angeles near 80–82°F on August 2, aligning with the market’s leading 80–81°F bin at 36.5% implied probability. Persistent cloud cover and sea-breeze effects have kept recent daily maxima 2–4°F below seasonal normals, while ensemble spread remains modest for the 24-hour outlook. Any weakening of the inversion or delayed marine push could shift the peak into the 82–83°F range, though probabilities for 84°F or higher stay low at under 10% combined. Traders are weighting these near-term guidance updates heavily ahead of final NWS verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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