Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 78–79°F in Los Angeles on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's sole outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, consistent with recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and climatological patterns for late July. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-analysis revisions to official records or discrepancies in station selection, though historical verification processes make such changes highly improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Los Angeles em 31 de julho?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F ou menos <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$81,189 Vol.
$81,189 Vol.
71°F ou menos
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Sim
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-30,5°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
90°F ou mais
Não
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F ou menos <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$81,189 Vol.
$81,189 Vol.
71°F ou menos
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Sim
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-30,5°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
90°F ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 29, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official measurements from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 78–79°F in Los Angeles on July 31, aligning precisely with the market's sole outcome and driving the 100% implied probability. Persistent marine layer stratus and onshore flow from the Pacific suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, consistent with recent model guidance from the National Weather Service and climatological patterns for late July. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of verified station data rather than forecasts. Resolution could shift only through rare post-analysis revisions to official records or discrepancies in station selection, though historical verification processes make such changes highly improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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