Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models show the primary driver of trader sentiment as uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures for Paris on August 1 amid an ongoing European heat wave. High-pressure dominance and southerly flow support values near seasonal norms plus 3–6°C, yet model spread on cloud cover, timing of any seabreeze influence, and urban heat island amplification keeps 28°C and 29°C nearly tied at market-implied odds of 33% and 34%. Resolution hinges on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at standard stations, with fresh model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to narrow the distribution around the 28–30°C cluster.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 1 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 1 de agosto?
29°C 37%
28°C 36%
30°C 17%
27°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
1 ago 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
36%
29°C
37%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
28°C 36%
30°C 17%
27°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
1 ago 2026
25°C or below
$35 Vol.
1%
26°C
$29 Vol.
3%
27°C
$65 Vol.
7%
28°C
$81 Vol.
36%
29°C
$207 Vol.
37%
30°C
$137 Vol.
17%
31°C
$49 Vol.
6%
32°C
$34 Vol.
3%
33°C
$81 Vol.
1%
34°C
$34 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$44 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models show the primary driver of trader sentiment as uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures for Paris on August 1 amid an ongoing European heat wave. High-pressure dominance and southerly flow support values near seasonal norms plus 3–6°C, yet model spread on cloud cover, timing of any seabreeze influence, and urban heat island amplification keeps 28°C and 29°C nearly tied at market-implied odds of 33% and 34%. Resolution hinges on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at standard stations, with fresh model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to narrow the distribution around the 28–30°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$797Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models show the primary driver of trader sentiment as uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures for Paris on August 1 amid an ongoing European heat wave. High-pressure dominance and southerly flow support values near seasonal norms plus 3–6°C, yet model spread on cloud cover, timing of any seabreeze influence, and urban heat island amplification keeps 28°C and 29°C nearly tied at market-implied odds of 33% and 34%. Resolution hinges on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at standard stations, with fresh model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to narrow the distribution around the 28–30°C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$797Data de Término
1 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models show the primary driver of trader sentiment as uncertainty in peak afternoon temperatures for Paris on August 1 amid an ongoing European heat wave. High-pressure dominance and southerly flow support values near seasonal norms plus 3–6°C, yet model spread on cloud cover, timing of any seabreeze influence, and urban heat island amplification keeps 28°C and 29°C nearly tied at market-implied odds of 33% and 34%. Resolution hinges on the official Météo-France maximum recorded at standard stations, with fresh model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to narrow the distribution around the 28–30°C cluster.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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