Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum temperature of 25°C on August 1, 2026, under heavy rain with daytime maxima near 30°C and high humidity. This aligns with typical August climatology, where overnight lows average 26–28°C amid the prevailing monsoon trough and warm sea-surface temperatures around 25°C. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 25°C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, with negligible probability on adjacent outcomes. Resolution hinges on the official HKO minimum at the primary observatory site; rare challenges could arise from post-event quality-control revisions or differing microclimate readings at auxiliary stations, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary values are confirmed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong a 1 de agosto?
25°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$35,325 Vol.
$35,325 Vol.
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$35,325 Vol.
$35,325 Vol.
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum temperature of 25°C on August 1, 2026, under heavy rain with daytime maxima near 30°C and high humidity. This aligns with typical August climatology, where overnight lows average 26–28°C amid the prevailing monsoon trough and warm sea-surface temperatures around 25°C. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 25°C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, with negligible probability on adjacent outcomes. Resolution hinges on the official HKO minimum at the primary observatory site; rare challenges could arise from post-event quality-control revisions or differing microclimate readings at auxiliary stations, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary values are confirmed.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions