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icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong a 1 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong a 1 de agosto?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong a 1 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong a 1 de agosto?

25°C 100.0%

21°C ou menos <1%

22°C <1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$35,325 Vol.

25°C 100.0%

21°C ou menos <1%

22°C <1%

23°C <1%

Polymarket

$35,325 Vol.

21°C ou menos

$1,775 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$3,677 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$6,342 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$5,239 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$10,559 Vol.

100%

26°C

$5,197 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$1,052 Vol.

<1%

28°C

$553 Vol.

<1%

29°C

$326 Vol.

<1%

30°C

$385 Vol.

<1%

31°C ou mais

$221 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum temperature of 25°C on August 1, 2026, under heavy rain with daytime maxima near 30°C and high humidity. This aligns with typical August climatology, where overnight lows average 26–28°C amid the prevailing monsoon trough and warm sea-surface temperatures around 25°C. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 25°C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, with negligible probability on adjacent outcomes. Resolution hinges on the official HKO minimum at the primary observatory site; rare challenges could arise from post-event quality-control revisions or differing microclimate readings at auxiliary stations, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary values are confirmed.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,325
Data de Término
1 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum temperature of 25°C on August 1, 2026, under heavy rain with daytime maxima near 30°C and high humidity. This aligns with typical August climatology, where overnight lows average 26–28°C amid the prevailing monsoon trough and warm sea-surface temperatures around 25°C. Trader consensus at 100% for exactly 25°C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, with negligible probability on adjacent outcomes. Resolution hinges on the official HKO minimum at the primary observatory site; rare challenges could arise from post-event quality-control revisions or differing microclimate readings at auxiliary stations, though such adjustments are uncommon once preliminary values are confirmed.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,325
Data de Término
1 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong a 1 de agosto?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "25°C" at 100%, followed by "21°C ou menos" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong a 1 de agosto?" has generated $35.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong a 1 de agosto?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong a 1 de agosto?" is "25°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "21°C ou menos" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong a 1 de agosto?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.