Recent model consensus for Mexico City points to a maximum temperature near 26–27°C on August 3, reflecting typical early-August conditions during the North American monsoon. At 2,240 m elevation, strong diurnal heating is offset by frequent afternoon convective clouds and showers that reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Current ENSO-neutral conditions and above-normal soil moisture from prior rainfall support moderate instability, with forecast soundings indicating peak temperatures hinging on the precise timing and coverage of thunderstorms. Historical August maxima average 23–24°C, but urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns can add 2–3°C on clearer days; traders weigh these uncertainties between the two leading outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 3 de agosto?
27°C 40%
26°C 35%
28°C 17%
25°C 8%
21°C ou menos
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
35%
27°C
40%
28°C
17%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C ou mais
1%
27°C 40%
26°C 35%
28°C 17%
25°C 8%
21°C ou menos
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
8%
26°C
35%
27°C
40%
28°C
17%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus for Mexico City points to a maximum temperature near 26–27°C on August 3, reflecting typical early-August conditions during the North American monsoon. At 2,240 m elevation, strong diurnal heating is offset by frequent afternoon convective clouds and showers that reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Current ENSO-neutral conditions and above-normal soil moisture from prior rainfall support moderate instability, with forecast soundings indicating peak temperatures hinging on the precise timing and coverage of thunderstorms. Historical August maxima average 23–24°C, but urban heat-island effects and variable steering patterns can add 2–3°C on clearer days; traders weigh these uncertainties between the two leading outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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