Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Houston point to a high near 99–101°F on August 3 amid persistent subtropical ridging and Gulf moisture, driving the market’s tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak heating, as scattered storms could limit surface temperatures despite strong insolation and dew points in the mid-70s. Model consensus shows modest spread on storm timing and coverage, which historically caps daily maxima by 2–4°F in similar August setups. Official observations from Bush Intercontinental Airport will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance against climatological August highs near 95°F. New NWS updates and model runs tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Houston no dia 3 de agosto?
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 31%
94-95°F 18%
100-101°F 13%
87°F ou menos
1%
88-89°F
1%
32-33°C
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
18%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
31%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106°F ou mais
<1%
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 31%
94-95°F 18%
100-101°F 13%
87°F ou menos
1%
88-89°F
1%
32-33°C
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
18%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
31%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Houston point to a high near 99–101°F on August 3 amid persistent subtropical ridging and Gulf moisture, driving the market’s tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Afternoon convection and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak heating, as scattered storms could limit surface temperatures despite strong insolation and dew points in the mid-70s. Model consensus shows modest spread on storm timing and coverage, which historically caps daily maxima by 2–4°F in similar August setups. Official observations from Bush Intercontinental Airport will resolve the market, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance against climatological August highs near 95°F. New NWS updates and model runs tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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