Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Busan no dia 2 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Busan no dia 2 de agosto?
36°C ou menos 31%
37°C 25%
38°C 23%
39°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
2 ago 2026
36°C ou menos
31%
37°C
25%
38°C
23%
39°C
19%
40°C
5%
41°C
2%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C ou mais
<1%
36°C ou menos 31%
37°C 25%
38°C 23%
39°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
2 ago 2026
36°C ou menos
$2,188 Vol.
31%
37°C
$797 Vol.
25%
38°C
$457 Vol.
23%
39°C
$1,381 Vol.
19%
40°C
$1,303 Vol.
5%
41°C
$635 Vol.
2%
42°C
$579 Vol.
1%
43°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$282 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$282 Vol.
<1%
46°C ou mais
$282 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$8,552Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,552Data de Término
2 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 38–40°C for Busan’s August 2 high reflects short-range forecast uncertainty, with ensemble models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global centers showing potential for above-normal temperatures driven by the strengthening North Pacific High. Persistent southerly flow and high humidity could amplify daytime peaks through urban heat effects, while minor shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover introduce variability that differentiates 37°C versus 41°C outcomes. Historical August averages near 30–32°C provide baseline context, yet recent model runs have trended warmer. Updated KMA guidance and refined numerical forecasts over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift these closely matched implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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