**Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 74°F in San Francisco on August 4 under sunny conditions with light onshore flow.** Typical August marine layer and sea breeze patterns, strengthened by a persistent Pacific high, are expected to moderate temperatures despite a broader regional heat wave that has pushed inland areas well above normal. Model consensus favors 72–75°F outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between stronger afternoon heating if winds remain light versus slight cooling if the marine layer deepens overnight. Historical August averages near 69–70°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will be the next key data points for traders assessing resolution risk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 4 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 4 de agosto?
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 18%
70-71°F 17%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
67°F ou menos
1%
20-21°C
4%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
18%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 24%
76-77°F 18%
70-71°F 17%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
67°F ou menos
$648 Vol.
1%
20-21°C
$173 Vol.
4%
70-71°F
$246 Vol.
17%
72-73°F
$213 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$208 Vol.
24%
76-77°F
$261 Vol.
18%
78-79°F
$181 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$186 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$333 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$286 Vol.
<1%
30°C ou mais
$319 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 74°F in San Francisco on August 4 under sunny conditions with light onshore flow.** Typical August marine layer and sea breeze patterns, strengthened by a persistent Pacific high, are expected to moderate temperatures despite a broader regional heat wave that has pushed inland areas well above normal. Model consensus favors 72–75°F outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between stronger afternoon heating if winds remain light versus slight cooling if the marine layer deepens overnight. Historical August averages near 69–70°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will be the next key data points for traders assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$3,053Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 74°F in San Francisco on August 4 under sunny conditions with light onshore flow.** Typical August marine layer and sea breeze patterns, strengthened by a persistent Pacific high, are expected to moderate temperatures despite a broader regional heat wave that has pushed inland areas well above normal. Model consensus favors 72–75°F outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between stronger afternoon heating if winds remain light versus slight cooling if the marine layer deepens overnight. Historical August averages near 69–70°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will be the next key data points for traders assessing resolution risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,053Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 74°F in San Francisco on August 4 under sunny conditions with light onshore flow.** Typical August marine layer and sea breeze patterns, strengthened by a persistent Pacific high, are expected to moderate temperatures despite a broader regional heat wave that has pushed inland areas well above normal. Model consensus favors 72–75°F outcomes, reflecting the narrow window between stronger afternoon heating if winds remain light versus slight cooling if the marine layer deepens overnight. Historical August averages near 69–70°F provide context, but current synoptic setup favors the upper end of the normal range. Updated model runs and the evening forecast briefing will be the next key data points for traders assessing resolution risk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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