Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, including Busan, with official KMA heat warnings in effect and recent daily highs reaching 39°C on August 1, underpin trader focus on 33–35°C outcomes for August 5. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and elevated humidity from the post-monsoon pattern favor strong daytime heating, though model consensus points to slight moderation from peak values due to potential sea-breeze influences and minor cloud development near the coast. NOAA and KMA short-range guidance, updated within the past 48 hours, show daytime maxima clustered near 34–36°C, aligning with historical August climatology for the region (average highs ~30–32°C). Upcoming KMA briefings and refined model runs through August 4 will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Busan no dia 5 de agosto?
34°C 43%
35°C 24%
33°C 23%
32°C 7%
30°C ou menos
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
7%
33°C
23%
34°C
43%
35°C
24%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C ou mais
1%
34°C 43%
35°C 24%
33°C 23%
32°C 7%
30°C ou menos
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
7%
33°C
23%
34°C
43%
35°C
24%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions across southeastern South Korea, including Busan, with official KMA heat warnings in effect and recent daily highs reaching 39°C on August 1, underpin trader focus on 33–35°C outcomes for August 5. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and elevated humidity from the post-monsoon pattern favor strong daytime heating, though model consensus points to slight moderation from peak values due to potential sea-breeze influences and minor cloud development near the coast. NOAA and KMA short-range guidance, updated within the past 48 hours, show daytime maxima clustered near 34–36°C, aligning with historical August climatology for the region (average highs ~30–32°C). Upcoming KMA briefings and refined model runs through August 4 will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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