Recent short-range forecasts for Chengdu indicate peak temperatures on August 5 likely in the 33–35°C range, driven by typical midsummer conditions of high humidity, weak winds, and limited cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin. Numerical weather prediction models show modest spread due to uncertainties in afternoon convection and boundary-layer mixing, which can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology places average highs near 31–32°C, but recent years have featured more frequent excursions above 34°C amid broader warming trends. With probabilities tightly clustered around 33–35°C, traders are weighting the latest model consensus and any updates from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 5 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 5 de agosto?
34°C 37%
35°C or higher 27%
33°C 24%
32°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
5 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
11%
33°C
24%
34°C
37%
35°C or higher
27%
34°C 37%
35°C or higher 27%
33°C 24%
32°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
5 ago 2026
25°C or below
$409 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
2%
29°C
$15 Vol.
3%
30°C
$288 Vol.
3%
31°C
$11 Vol.
6%
32°C
$47 Vol.
11%
33°C
$15 Vol.
24%
34°C
$146 Vol.
37%
35°C or higher
$249 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Chengdu indicate peak temperatures on August 5 likely in the 33–35°C range, driven by typical midsummer conditions of high humidity, weak winds, and limited cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin. Numerical weather prediction models show modest spread due to uncertainties in afternoon convection and boundary-layer mixing, which can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology places average highs near 31–32°C, but recent years have featured more frequent excursions above 34°C amid broader warming trends. With probabilities tightly clustered around 33–35°C, traders are weighting the latest model consensus and any updates from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$1,329Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts for Chengdu indicate peak temperatures on August 5 likely in the 33–35°C range, driven by typical midsummer conditions of high humidity, weak winds, and limited cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin. Numerical weather prediction models show modest spread due to uncertainties in afternoon convection and boundary-layer mixing, which can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology places average highs near 31–32°C, but recent years have featured more frequent excursions above 34°C amid broader warming trends. With probabilities tightly clustered around 33–35°C, traders are weighting the latest model consensus and any updates from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,329Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts for Chengdu indicate peak temperatures on August 5 likely in the 33–35°C range, driven by typical midsummer conditions of high humidity, weak winds, and limited cloud cover in the Sichuan Basin. Numerical weather prediction models show modest spread due to uncertainties in afternoon convection and boundary-layer mixing, which can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C. Historical August climatology places average highs near 31–32°C, but recent years have featured more frequent excursions above 34°C amid broader warming trends. With probabilities tightly clustered around 33–35°C, traders are weighting the latest model consensus and any updates from the China Meteorological Administration ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions