Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime maximum near 27 °C in Mexico City on August 4, with afternoon thunderstorms likely to limit further warming. Current conditions on August 3 show partly to mostly cloudy skies and highs of 26–28 °C (79–83 °F), consistent with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and the mid-summer rainy season pattern. Thunderstorm timing and intensity remain the key variables that could shift the realized high by 1–2 °C, while model agreement on steering flow and moisture supports the narrow 26–28 °C range dominating market-implied probabilities. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these expectations ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 4 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 4 de agosto?
27°C 43%
26°C 31%
28°C 19%
25°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
31%
27°C
43%
28°C
19%
29°C
4%
30°C ou mais
1%
27°C 43%
26°C 31%
28°C 19%
25°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
20°C ou menos
$128 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$97 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$58 Vol.
1%
24°C
$57 Vol.
2%
25°C
$188 Vol.
7%
26°C
$71 Vol.
31%
27°C
$176 Vol.
43%
28°C
$207 Vol.
19%
29°C
$57 Vol.
4%
30°C ou mais
$25 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime maximum near 27 °C in Mexico City on August 4, with afternoon thunderstorms likely to limit further warming. Current conditions on August 3 show partly to mostly cloudy skies and highs of 26–28 °C (79–83 °F), consistent with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and the mid-summer rainy season pattern. Thunderstorm timing and intensity remain the key variables that could shift the realized high by 1–2 °C, while model agreement on steering flow and moisture supports the narrow 26–28 °C range dominating market-implied probabilities. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these expectations ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,115Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime maximum near 27 °C in Mexico City on August 4, with afternoon thunderstorms likely to limit further warming. Current conditions on August 3 show partly to mostly cloudy skies and highs of 26–28 °C (79–83 °F), consistent with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and the mid-summer rainy season pattern. Thunderstorm timing and intensity remain the key variables that could shift the realized high by 1–2 °C, while model agreement on steering flow and moisture supports the narrow 26–28 °C range dominating market-implied probabilities. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these expectations ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,115Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daytime maximum near 27 °C in Mexico City on August 4, with afternoon thunderstorms likely to limit further warming. Current conditions on August 3 show partly to mostly cloudy skies and highs of 26–28 °C (79–83 °F), consistent with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and the mid-summer rainy season pattern. Thunderstorm timing and intensity remain the key variables that could shift the realized high by 1–2 °C, while model agreement on steering flow and moisture supports the narrow 26–28 °C range dominating market-implied probabilities. Updated guidance from official monitoring agencies over the next 24 hours will refine these expectations ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions