Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to Istanbul highs of 29–31°C (84–88°F) on August 7 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of midsummer, with sea breezes from the Bosporus and adjacent seas providing moderation that keeps extremes in check. Trader consensus favoring 28–29°C reflects these patterns, historical August averages near 28°C, and limited short-term variability expected over the next 48 hours, though slight model spreads and potential for localized urban heating introduce uncertainty around exact peaks. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 7 de agosto?
28°C 42%
29°C 25%
30°C 18%
27°C 15%
24°C ou menos
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
15%
28°C
42%
29°C
25%
30°C
18%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C ou mais
2%
28°C 42%
29°C 25%
30°C 18%
27°C 15%
24°C ou menos
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
15%
28°C
42%
29°C
25%
30°C
18%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather point to Istanbul highs of 29–31°C (84–88°F) on August 7 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of midsummer, with sea breezes from the Bosporus and adjacent seas providing moderation that keeps extremes in check. Trader consensus favoring 28–29°C reflects these patterns, historical August averages near 28°C, and limited short-term variability expected over the next 48 hours, though slight model spreads and potential for localized urban heating introduce uncertainty around exact peaks. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service observations will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions