**Trader consensus centers on 28°C as the most probable high for Istanbul on August 6, reflecting the latest short-range forecast guidance showing a peak near or slightly below 30°C (86°F) under mostly sunny conditions.** Official outlooks from sources such as timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate daytime maxima of 30°C with afternoon RealFeel values around 87°F, consistent with typical early-August Mediterranean patterns of stable high pressure and light northerly flow that limit extreme heating. Model agreement on modest wind speeds and minimal cloud cover supports this range, while historical August averages of 28–30°C highs provide climatological context. Minor forecast adjustments overnight or localized variations near official stations introduce the observed spread toward 27–29°C outcomes, with probabilities declining sharply above 30°C due to limited upside potential in current atmospheric conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 6 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 6 de agosto?
28°C 52%
29°C 22%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
52%
29°C
22%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 52%
29°C 22%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
22°C ou menos
$397 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$439 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$172 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$58 Vol.
1%
26°C
$106 Vol.
5%
27°C
$294 Vol.
20%
28°C
$863 Vol.
52%
29°C
$218 Vol.
22%
30°C
$72 Vol.
3%
31°C
$96 Vol.
1%
32°C ou mais
$58 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 28°C as the most probable high for Istanbul on August 6, reflecting the latest short-range forecast guidance showing a peak near or slightly below 30°C (86°F) under mostly sunny conditions.**
Official outlooks from sources such as timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate daytime maxima of 30°C with afternoon RealFeel values around 87°F, consistent with typical early-August Mediterranean patterns of stable high pressure and light northerly flow that limit extreme heating. Model agreement on modest wind speeds and minimal cloud cover supports this range, while historical August averages of 28–30°C highs provide climatological context. Minor forecast adjustments overnight or localized variations near official stations introduce the observed spread toward 27–29°C outcomes, with probabilities declining sharply above 30°C due to limited upside potential in current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,772Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 28°C as the most probable high for Istanbul on August 6, reflecting the latest short-range forecast guidance showing a peak near or slightly below 30°C (86°F) under mostly sunny conditions.**
Official outlooks from sources such as timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate daytime maxima of 30°C with afternoon RealFeel values around 87°F, consistent with typical early-August Mediterranean patterns of stable high pressure and light northerly flow that limit extreme heating. Model agreement on modest wind speeds and minimal cloud cover supports this range, while historical August averages of 28–30°C highs provide climatological context. Minor forecast adjustments overnight or localized variations near official stations introduce the observed spread toward 27–29°C outcomes, with probabilities declining sharply above 30°C due to limited upside potential in current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,772Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 28°C as the most probable high for Istanbul on August 6, reflecting the latest short-range forecast guidance showing a peak near or slightly below 30°C (86°F) under mostly sunny conditions.** Official outlooks from sources such as timeanddate.com and BBC Weather indicate daytime maxima of 30°C with afternoon RealFeel values around 87°F, consistent with typical early-August Mediterranean patterns of stable high pressure and light northerly flow that limit extreme heating. Model agreement on modest wind speeds and minimal cloud cover supports this range, while historical August averages of 28–30°C highs provide climatological context. Minor forecast adjustments overnight or localized variations near official stations introduce the observed spread toward 27–29°C outcomes, with probabilities declining sharply above 30°C due to limited upside potential in current atmospheric conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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