Trader consensus in this Miami overnight low market centers on the 78–81°F range because National Weather Service and model guidance for August 6 point to typical late-summer conditions with dew points near 75°F, light easterly flow, and scattered nocturnal convection that limits radiational cooling. Recent ensemble runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, keeping the implied probability split between the two leading bins while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any strong cold-air advection or unusually clear, calm skies. Forecasters note that thunderstorm outflow or increased cloud cover could nudge the minimum a degree or two either side of 79–80°F, the climatological baseline, before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Miami no dia 6 de agosto?
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 32%
76-77°F 21%
74-75°F 9%
67°F ou menos
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86°F ou mais
1%
80-81°F 33%
78-79°F 32%
76-77°F 21%
74-75°F 9%
67°F ou menos
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86°F ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this Miami overnight low market centers on the 78–81°F range because National Weather Service and model guidance for August 6 point to typical late-summer conditions with dew points near 75°F, light easterly flow, and scattered nocturnal convection that limits radiational cooling. Recent ensemble runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer temperatures, keeping the implied probability split between the two leading bins while lower outcomes remain discounted absent any strong cold-air advection or unusually clear, calm skies. Forecasters note that thunderstorm outflow or increased cloud cover could nudge the minimum a degree or two either side of 79–80°F, the climatological baseline, before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions