Recent forecast models from Météo-France and international ensembles indicate an overnight low near 12–13°C for Paris on August 7, driven by partly clear skies enabling radiative cooling and a north-westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 12°C (50%) and 13°C (30%), reflecting trader consensus on typical early-August diurnal ranges where highs reach 26–28°C before nighttime drops of 12–14°C. Minor model spread around 11–14°C accounts for the secondary probabilities, while historical August averages of 14–15°C lows provide context for the slight cool bias currently priced in. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 7 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 7 de agosto?
12°C 53%
13°C 30%
11°C 14%
14°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
7 ago 2026
9°C ou menos
5%
10°C
8%
11°C
14%
12°C
50%
13°C
30%
14°C
10%
15°C
8%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C ou mais
1%
12°C 53%
13°C 30%
11°C 14%
14°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
7 ago 2026
9°C ou menos
$15 Vol.
5%
10°C
$37 Vol.
8%
11°C
$0 Vol.
14%
12°C
$86 Vol.
50%
13°C
$0 Vol.
30%
14°C
$0 Vol.
10%
15°C
$0 Vol.
8%
16°C
$80 Vol.
1%
17°C
$20 Vol.
1%
18°C
$20 Vol.
1%
19°C ou mais
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Météo-France and international ensembles indicate an overnight low near 12–13°C for Paris on August 7, driven by partly clear skies enabling radiative cooling and a north-westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 12°C (50%) and 13°C (30%), reflecting trader consensus on typical early-August diurnal ranges where highs reach 26–28°C before nighttime drops of 12–14°C. Minor model spread around 11–14°C accounts for the secondary probabilities, while historical August averages of 14–15°C lows provide context for the slight cool bias currently priced in. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$268Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Météo-France and international ensembles indicate an overnight low near 12–13°C for Paris on August 7, driven by partly clear skies enabling radiative cooling and a north-westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 12°C (50%) and 13°C (30%), reflecting trader consensus on typical early-August diurnal ranges where highs reach 26–28°C before nighttime drops of 12–14°C. Minor model spread around 11–14°C accounts for the secondary probabilities, while historical August averages of 14–15°C lows provide context for the slight cool bias currently priced in. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$268Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from Météo-France and international ensembles indicate an overnight low near 12–13°C for Paris on August 7, driven by partly clear skies enabling radiative cooling and a north-westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 12°C (50%) and 13°C (30%), reflecting trader consensus on typical early-August diurnal ranges where highs reach 26–28°C before nighttime drops of 12–14°C. Minor model spread around 11–14°C accounts for the secondary probabilities, while historical August averages of 14–15°C lows provide context for the slight cool bias currently priced in. Updated model runs and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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