Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the expected maximum temperature in Paris on August 5 near the seasonal norm but with tight clustering around 28–29°C. Subtle differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing, incoming solar radiation under mostly clear skies, and the strength of southerly flow determine whether readings at the official Paris-Montsouris station reach 29°C or remain capped at 28°C. Urban heat-island effects and minor timing shifts in any afternoon cloud development add further uncertainty at this two-day lead time, keeping the 27°C and 30°C outcomes as plausible tails. Traders appear to weight the latest high-resolution runs most heavily while awaiting the next model cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 5 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 5 de agosto?
28°C 40%
29°C 33%
27°C 18%
30°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
5 ago 2026
24°C ou menos
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
18%
28°C
40%
29°C
33%
30°C
11%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 40%
29°C 33%
27°C 18%
30°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
5 ago 2026
24°C ou menos
$58 Vol.
1%
25°C
$5 Vol.
3%
26°C
$67 Vol.
5%
27°C
$178 Vol.
18%
28°C
$457 Vol.
40%
29°C
$213 Vol.
33%
30°C
$90 Vol.
11%
31°C
$94 Vol.
5%
32°C
$68 Vol.
2%
33°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
34°C ou mais
$58 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the expected maximum temperature in Paris on August 5 near the seasonal norm but with tight clustering around 28–29°C. Subtle differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing, incoming solar radiation under mostly clear skies, and the strength of southerly flow determine whether readings at the official Paris-Montsouris station reach 29°C or remain capped at 28°C. Urban heat-island effects and minor timing shifts in any afternoon cloud development add further uncertainty at this two-day lead time, keeping the 27°C and 30°C outcomes as plausible tails. Traders appear to weight the latest high-resolution runs most heavily while awaiting the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,289Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the expected maximum temperature in Paris on August 5 near the seasonal norm but with tight clustering around 28–29°C. Subtle differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing, incoming solar radiation under mostly clear skies, and the strength of southerly flow determine whether readings at the official Paris-Montsouris station reach 29°C or remain capped at 28°C. Urban heat-island effects and minor timing shifts in any afternoon cloud development add further uncertainty at this two-day lead time, keeping the 27°C and 30°C outcomes as plausible tails. Traders appear to weight the latest high-resolution runs most heavily while awaiting the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,289Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF place the expected maximum temperature in Paris on August 5 near the seasonal norm but with tight clustering around 28–29°C. Subtle differences in modeled boundary-layer mixing, incoming solar radiation under mostly clear skies, and the strength of southerly flow determine whether readings at the official Paris-Montsouris station reach 29°C or remain capped at 28°C. Urban heat-island effects and minor timing shifts in any afternoon cloud development add further uncertainty at this two-day lead time, keeping the 27°C and 30°C outcomes as plausible tails. Traders appear to weight the latest high-resolution runs most heavily while awaiting the next model cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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