Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight modest uncertainty in peak heating for Beijing on August 5, driven by variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm development amid typical early-August monsoon moisture. This keeps implied probabilities clustered around 34–36 °C, with 35 °C holding a narrow edge as the most consistent model consensus value. Historical climatology shows early-August maxima frequently reaching the low-to-mid 30s under similar synoptic patterns, while urban heat-island amplification and afternoon convection timing can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and expected precipitation timing most heavily ahead of final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 5 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 5 de agosto?
35°C 31%
34°C 26%
36°C 21%
33°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
5 ago 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
14%
34°C
26%
35°C
31%
36°C
21%
37°C
7%
38°C
3%
39°C or higher
4%
35°C 31%
34°C 26%
36°C 21%
33°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
5 ago 2026
29°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
12%
33°C
$0 Vol.
14%
34°C
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$0 Vol.
31%
36°C
$11 Vol.
21%
37°C
$0 Vol.
7%
38°C
$6 Vol.
3%
39°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight modest uncertainty in peak heating for Beijing on August 5, driven by variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm development amid typical early-August monsoon moisture. This keeps implied probabilities clustered around 34–36 °C, with 35 °C holding a narrow edge as the most consistent model consensus value. Historical climatology shows early-August maxima frequently reaching the low-to-mid 30s under similar synoptic patterns, while urban heat-island amplification and afternoon convection timing can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and expected precipitation timing most heavily ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$22Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight modest uncertainty in peak heating for Beijing on August 5, driven by variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm development amid typical early-August monsoon moisture. This keeps implied probabilities clustered around 34–36 °C, with 35 °C holding a narrow edge as the most consistent model consensus value. Historical climatology shows early-August maxima frequently reaching the low-to-mid 30s under similar synoptic patterns, while urban heat-island amplification and afternoon convection timing can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and expected precipitation timing most heavily ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight modest uncertainty in peak heating for Beijing on August 5, driven by variable cloud cover and scattered thunderstorm development amid typical early-August monsoon moisture. This keeps implied probabilities clustered around 34–36 °C, with 35 °C holding a narrow edge as the most consistent model consensus value. Historical climatology shows early-August maxima frequently reaching the low-to-mid 30s under similar synoptic patterns, while urban heat-island amplification and afternoon convection timing can shift the observed high by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh the latest model runs and expected precipitation timing most heavily ahead of final resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions