**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 4, 2026, centers on 31–33 °C because short-range forecast models from sources such as Météo-France and ECMWF converge on this narrow band after July’s intense heatwaves.** High-pressure ridging and subsiding air have maintained mostly clear, dry conditions with light southerly flow, allowing daytime heating to reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius while preventing extreme Saharan advection that drove earlier peaks near 40 °C. Ensemble spreads remain small, reflecting modest uncertainty from possible morning cloud build-up or isolated showers that could shave 1–2 °C off the maximum, versus full insolation that could push readings slightly higher. Urban heat-island effects at the official Paris observation site add a consistent but limited boost. Historical climatology places early-August normals near 26 °C, so current guidance already reflects anomalous warmth that is expected to ease further by mid-month. With resolution only two days away, incremental model updates on boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing will be the decisive variables separating the closely matched 31 °C, 32 °C, and 33 °C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 4 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 4 de agosto?
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 22%
34°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
29°C or below
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33°C
22%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 22%
34°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
4 ago 2026
29°C or below
$195 Vol.
3%
30°C
$34 Vol.
7%
31°C
$55 Vol.
26%
32°C
$246 Vol.
37%
33°C
$59 Vol.
22%
34°C
$166 Vol.
8%
35°C
$147 Vol.
2%
36°C
$54 Vol.
1%
37°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$81 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$499 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 4, 2026, centers on 31–33 °C because short-range forecast models from sources such as Météo-France and ECMWF converge on this narrow band after July’s intense heatwaves.**
High-pressure ridging and subsiding air have maintained mostly clear, dry conditions with light southerly flow, allowing daytime heating to reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius while preventing extreme Saharan advection that drove earlier peaks near 40 °C. Ensemble spreads remain small, reflecting modest uncertainty from possible morning cloud build-up or isolated showers that could shave 1–2 °C off the maximum, versus full insolation that could push readings slightly higher. Urban heat-island effects at the official Paris observation site add a consistent but limited boost. Historical climatology places early-August normals near 26 °C, so current guidance already reflects anomalous warmth that is expected to ease further by mid-month. With resolution only two days away, incremental model updates on boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing will be the decisive variables separating the closely matched 31 °C, 32 °C, and 33 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,583Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 4, 2026, centers on 31–33 °C because short-range forecast models from sources such as Météo-France and ECMWF converge on this narrow band after July’s intense heatwaves.**
High-pressure ridging and subsiding air have maintained mostly clear, dry conditions with light southerly flow, allowing daytime heating to reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius while preventing extreme Saharan advection that drove earlier peaks near 40 °C. Ensemble spreads remain small, reflecting modest uncertainty from possible morning cloud build-up or isolated showers that could shave 1–2 °C off the maximum, versus full insolation that could push readings slightly higher. Urban heat-island effects at the official Paris observation site add a consistent but limited boost. Historical climatology places early-August normals near 26 °C, so current guidance already reflects anomalous warmth that is expected to ease further by mid-month. With resolution only two days away, incremental model updates on boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing will be the decisive variables separating the closely matched 31 °C, 32 °C, and 33 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,583Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 4, 2026, centers on 31–33 °C because short-range forecast models from sources such as Météo-France and ECMWF converge on this narrow band after July’s intense heatwaves.** High-pressure ridging and subsiding air have maintained mostly clear, dry conditions with light southerly flow, allowing daytime heating to reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius while preventing extreme Saharan advection that drove earlier peaks near 40 °C. Ensemble spreads remain small, reflecting modest uncertainty from possible morning cloud build-up or isolated showers that could shave 1–2 °C off the maximum, versus full insolation that could push readings slightly higher. Urban heat-island effects at the official Paris observation site add a consistent but limited boost. Historical climatology places early-August normals near 26 °C, so current guidance already reflects anomalous warmth that is expected to ease further by mid-month. With resolution only two days away, incremental model updates on boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing will be the decisive variables separating the closely matched 31 °C, 32 °C, and 33 °C outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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