Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting models indicate a cooldown for Paris on August 6, with morning lows near 17°C under largely sunny conditions after earlier summer warmth, though ensemble outputs and stations like Paris-Montsouris show potential for 14–16°C depending on boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (49%) and 14°C (25.5%), as traders incorporate historical August climatology (typical overnight minima 14–15°C) and short-range forecast uncertainty around exact minimum timing. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus official bulletins, will refine resolution criteria for the day's recorded low.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 6 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 6 de agosto?
15°C 49%
14°C 26%
16°C 15%
13°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
12°C ou menos
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
26%
15°C
49%
16°C
15%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C ou mais
<1%
15°C 49%
14°C 26%
16°C 15%
13°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
12°C ou menos
$238 Vol.
1%
13°C
$284 Vol.
3%
14°C
$988 Vol.
26%
15°C
$1,810 Vol.
49%
16°C
$586 Vol.
15%
17°C
$1,595 Vol.
1%
18°C
$576 Vol.
1%
19°C
$675 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$788 Vol.
1%
21°C
$620 Vol.
1%
22°C ou mais
$555 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting models indicate a cooldown for Paris on August 6, with morning lows near 17°C under largely sunny conditions after earlier summer warmth, though ensemble outputs and stations like Paris-Montsouris show potential for 14–16°C depending on boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (49%) and 14°C (25.5%), as traders incorporate historical August climatology (typical overnight minima 14–15°C) and short-range forecast uncertainty around exact minimum timing. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus official bulletins, will refine resolution criteria for the day's recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$8,716Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting models indicate a cooldown for Paris on August 6, with morning lows near 17°C under largely sunny conditions after earlier summer warmth, though ensemble outputs and stations like Paris-Montsouris show potential for 14–16°C depending on boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (49%) and 14°C (25.5%), as traders incorporate historical August climatology (typical overnight minima 14–15°C) and short-range forecast uncertainty around exact minimum timing. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus official bulletins, will refine resolution criteria for the day's recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,716Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance and supporting models indicate a cooldown for Paris on August 6, with morning lows near 17°C under largely sunny conditions after earlier summer warmth, though ensemble outputs and stations like Paris-Montsouris show potential for 14–16°C depending on boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns. This aligns with the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (49%) and 14°C (25.5%), as traders incorporate historical August climatology (typical overnight minima 14–15°C) and short-range forecast uncertainty around exact minimum timing. Upcoming 00Z and 12Z model runs from ECMWF and GFS, plus official bulletins, will refine resolution criteria for the day's recorded low.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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