Recent forecast guidance from regional models and surface observations points to peak temperatures near 26°C in Mexico City on August 6, aligning with climatological averages for early August in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico. Afternoon convective showers typical of the wet season frequently limit daytime maxima, while stable high pressure and moderate humidity prevent significant warming. Historical station data show daily highs rarely exceed 27°C without anomalous clear-sky conditions or suppressed rainfall. Updated model runs through early August indicate consistent steering patterns and no heat-wave signals, keeping 26–27°C as the consensus range among traders while lower outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 6 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 6 de agosto?
26°C 36%
27°C 27%
25°C 17%
28°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
17%
26°C
36%
27°C
27%
28°C
11%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C ou mais
1%
26°C 36%
27°C 27%
25°C 17%
28°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$22 Vol.
2%
24°C
$22 Vol.
3%
25°C
$21 Vol.
17%
26°C
$52 Vol.
36%
27°C
$18 Vol.
27%
28°C
$51 Vol.
11%
29°C
$143 Vol.
2%
30°C
$27 Vol.
2%
31°C
$222 Vol.
1%
32°C
$290 Vol.
1%
33°C ou mais
$681 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models and surface observations points to peak temperatures near 26°C in Mexico City on August 6, aligning with climatological averages for early August in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico. Afternoon convective showers typical of the wet season frequently limit daytime maxima, while stable high pressure and moderate humidity prevent significant warming. Historical station data show daily highs rarely exceed 27°C without anomalous clear-sky conditions or suppressed rainfall. Updated model runs through early August indicate consistent steering patterns and no heat-wave signals, keeping 26–27°C as the consensus range among traders while lower outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,548Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models and surface observations points to peak temperatures near 26°C in Mexico City on August 6, aligning with climatological averages for early August in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico. Afternoon convective showers typical of the wet season frequently limit daytime maxima, while stable high pressure and moderate humidity prevent significant warming. Historical station data show daily highs rarely exceed 27°C without anomalous clear-sky conditions or suppressed rainfall. Updated model runs through early August indicate consistent steering patterns and no heat-wave signals, keeping 26–27°C as the consensus range among traders while lower outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,548Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models and surface observations points to peak temperatures near 26°C in Mexico City on August 6, aligning with climatological averages for early August in the high-altitude Valley of Mexico. Afternoon convective showers typical of the wet season frequently limit daytime maxima, while stable high pressure and moderate humidity prevent significant warming. Historical station data show daily highs rarely exceed 27°C without anomalous clear-sky conditions or suppressed rainfall. Updated model runs through early August indicate consistent steering patterns and no heat-wave signals, keeping 26–27°C as the consensus range among traders while lower outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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