Current forecast models from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a peak temperature near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northerly flow typical of midsummer Mediterranean patterns. This aligns closely with the August climatological average of 31–32°C and recent observations showing no significant heat advection or Saharan air intrusions. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds for 32°C and 33°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range of short-range guidance, with limited upside potential absent unexpected warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea breeze effects and any minor moisture adjustments that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv no dia 5 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv no dia 5 de agosto?
32°C 53%
33°C 41%
34°C 8%
31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
5 ago 2026
28°C or below
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
53%
33°C
41%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
4%
32°C 53%
33°C 41%
34°C 8%
31°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
5 ago 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$271 Vol.
2%
30°C
$32 Vol.
2%
31°C
$125 Vol.
5%
32°C
$91 Vol.
53%
33°C
$31 Vol.
41%
34°C
$134 Vol.
8%
35°C
$26 Vol.
2%
36°C
$0 Vol.
4%
37°C
$0 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a peak temperature near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northerly flow typical of midsummer Mediterranean patterns. This aligns closely with the August climatological average of 31–32°C and recent observations showing no significant heat advection or Saharan air intrusions. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds for 32°C and 33°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range of short-range guidance, with limited upside potential absent unexpected warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea breeze effects and any minor moisture adjustments that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$458Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a peak temperature near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northerly flow typical of midsummer Mediterranean patterns. This aligns closely with the August climatological average of 31–32°C and recent observations showing no significant heat advection or Saharan air intrusions. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds for 32°C and 33°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range of short-range guidance, with limited upside potential absent unexpected warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea breeze effects and any minor moisture adjustments that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$458Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a peak temperature near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 5 under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northerly flow typical of midsummer Mediterranean patterns. This aligns closely with the August climatological average of 31–32°C and recent observations showing no significant heat advection or Saharan air intrusions. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds for 32°C and 33°C incorporates the narrow uncertainty range of short-range guidance, with limited upside potential absent unexpected warming. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine land-sea breeze effects and any minor moisture adjustments that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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