Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project daytime highs in Tel Aviv near 31–33°C for August 3 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of the eastern Mediterranean in peak summer, with clear skies, light westerly winds, and negligible cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. These patterns align with historical August averages of 31–32°C while allowing for brief excursions to 34°C if subsidence strengthens or urban heat effects intensify. Trader consensus, reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for 34°C, centers on this narrow range because ensemble models show limited day-to-day variability and no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution. Updated runs over the next 48 hours from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models will likely tighten the distribution around the 32–34°C band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv no dia 3 de agosto?
34°C 61%
35°C 21%
33°C 18%
32°C 4%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
18%
34°C
61%
35°C
21%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 61%
35°C 21%
33°C 18%
32°C 4%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
18%
34°C
61%
35°C
21%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project daytime highs in Tel Aviv near 31–33°C for August 3 under persistent high-pressure conditions typical of the eastern Mediterranean in peak summer, with clear skies, light westerly winds, and negligible cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. These patterns align with historical August averages of 31–32°C while allowing for brief excursions to 34°C if subsidence strengthens or urban heat effects intensify. Trader consensus, reflected in the 60.5% implied probability for 34°C, centers on this narrow range because ensemble models show limited day-to-day variability and no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution. Updated runs over the next 48 hours from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models will likely tighten the distribution around the 32–34°C band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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