Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system, clear skies, and light winds are positioning Seoul-Incheon maxima around 34–36°C for August 6, with official KMA heat emergency alerts active across the region. Recent record-breaking temperatures (including 42.5°C elsewhere on August 2) and sustained above-average warmth have elevated baseline readings, while short-range model consensus supports afternoon peaks near 35°C amid seasonal El Niño-enhanced patterns. Trader sentiment clusters on 35°C (35.5% implied) ahead of 34°C and 36°C as forecast uncertainty remains tied to minor variables like afternoon cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects at Incheon station; updated KMA guidance before resolution will be the key catalyst. Historical early-August averages near 31–32°C underscore the anomalous intensity currently priced in.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 6 de agosto?
35°C 40%
34°C 25%
36°C 23%
37°C or higher 9.2%
$26,715 Vol.
$26,715 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
25%
35°C
40%
36°C
23%
37°C or higher
9%
35°C 40%
34°C 25%
36°C 23%
37°C or higher 9.2%
$26,715 Vol.
$26,715 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
25%
35°C
40%
36°C
23%
37°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions driven by a strong high-pressure system, clear skies, and light winds are positioning Seoul-Incheon maxima around 34–36°C for August 6, with official KMA heat emergency alerts active across the region. Recent record-breaking temperatures (including 42.5°C elsewhere on August 2) and sustained above-average warmth have elevated baseline readings, while short-range model consensus supports afternoon peaks near 35°C amid seasonal El Niño-enhanced patterns. Trader sentiment clusters on 35°C (35.5% implied) ahead of 34°C and 36°C as forecast uncertainty remains tied to minor variables like afternoon cloud cover or localized sea-breeze effects at Incheon station; updated KMA guidance before resolution will be the key catalyst. Historical early-August averages near 31–32°C underscore the anomalous intensity currently priced in.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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