Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon station data point to overnight lows of 27–28°C on August 6 amid persistent summer heat and humidity, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. High dew points near 25°C limit radiative cooling overnight, while light winds and possible partial cloud cover reduce temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Urban heat island effects around Seoul-Incheon further elevate minimums above typical August averages of 22–24°C. Model consensus shows little change expected before the 3–9 a.m. observation window, though any increase in wind or clearer skies could nudge readings lower and shift implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 6 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 6 de agosto?
27°C 47%
28°C 39%
26°C 7%
29°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
7%
27°C
47%
28°C
39%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 47%
28°C 39%
26°C 7%
29°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$115 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$91 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$450 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$441 Vol.
7%
27°C
$1,987 Vol.
47%
28°C
$579 Vol.
39%
29°C
$510 Vol.
3%
30°C
$251 Vol.
1%
31°C
$140 Vol.
1%
32°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou mais
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon station data point to overnight lows of 27–28°C on August 6 amid persistent summer heat and humidity, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. High dew points near 25°C limit radiative cooling overnight, while light winds and possible partial cloud cover reduce temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Urban heat island effects around Seoul-Incheon further elevate minimums above typical August averages of 22–24°C. Model consensus shows little change expected before the 3–9 a.m. observation window, though any increase in wind or clearer skies could nudge readings lower and shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,026Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon station data point to overnight lows of 27–28°C on August 6 amid persistent summer heat and humidity, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. High dew points near 25°C limit radiative cooling overnight, while light winds and possible partial cloud cover reduce temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Urban heat island effects around Seoul-Incheon further elevate minimums above typical August averages of 22–24°C. Model consensus shows little change expected before the 3–9 a.m. observation window, though any increase in wind or clearer skies could nudge readings lower and shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,026Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon station data point to overnight lows of 27–28°C on August 6 amid persistent summer heat and humidity, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. High dew points near 25°C limit radiative cooling overnight, while light winds and possible partial cloud cover reduce temperature drops compared to clearer nights. Urban heat island effects around Seoul-Incheon further elevate minimums above typical August averages of 22–24°C. Model consensus shows little change expected before the 3–9 a.m. observation window, though any increase in wind or clearer skies could nudge readings lower and shift implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions