Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS position the highest temperature in Milan on August 8 near 33°C as the consensus outcome, reflected in the leading 38.5% market-implied probability, with 34°C and 32°C close behind. A stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy is advecting warmer subtropical air while clear skies promote strong daytime insolation and urban heat retention. Recent model runs show minimal spread in maximum temperature guidance for the Po Valley, though slight shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. The Italian Meteorological Service and regional updates expected overnight will provide the final observational constraints ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 8 de agosto?
33°C 39%
34°C 29%
32°C 23%
35°C ou mais 9%
$10,535 Vol.
$10,535 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
23%
33°C
39%
34°C
29%
35°C ou mais
9%
33°C 39%
34°C 29%
32°C 23%
35°C ou mais 9%
$10,535 Vol.
$10,535 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
23%
33°C
39%
34°C
29%
35°C ou mais
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from ECMWF and GFS position the highest temperature in Milan on August 8 near 33°C as the consensus outcome, reflected in the leading 38.5% market-implied probability, with 34°C and 32°C close behind. A stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy is advecting warmer subtropical air while clear skies promote strong daytime insolation and urban heat retention. Recent model runs show minimal spread in maximum temperature guidance for the Po Valley, though slight shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any weak frontal passage could adjust the peak by 1–2°C. The Italian Meteorological Service and regional updates expected overnight will provide the final observational constraints ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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