Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance points to overnight radiational cooling under clear skies and light winds as the main driver pushing market-implied odds toward 17–18°C lows for Paris on August 9, with those outcomes capturing over two-thirds of trader consensus. A warm air mass from the preceding period of above-normal temperatures limits further drops, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind mixing explain the tight spread between the top probabilities. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly; final resolution hinges on official observations at reference stations, with the next high-resolution model updates expected to refine the exact threshold before dawn.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 9 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 9 de agosto?
18°C 35%
17°C 30%
19°C 22%
16°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
14°C ou menos
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
12%
17°C
30%
18°C
35%
19°C
22%
20°C
6%
21°C
5%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
18°C 35%
17°C 30%
19°C 22%
16°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
9 ago 2026
14°C ou menos
$28 Vol.
1%
15°C
$56 Vol.
2%
16°C
$234 Vol.
12%
17°C
$66 Vol.
30%
18°C
$248 Vol.
35%
19°C
$196 Vol.
22%
20°C
$42 Vol.
6%
21°C
$76 Vol.
5%
22°C
$374 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$551 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou mais
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance points to overnight radiational cooling under clear skies and light winds as the main driver pushing market-implied odds toward 17–18°C lows for Paris on August 9, with those outcomes capturing over two-thirds of trader consensus. A warm air mass from the preceding period of above-normal temperatures limits further drops, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind mixing explain the tight spread between the top probabilities. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly; final resolution hinges on official observations at reference stations, with the next high-resolution model updates expected to refine the exact threshold before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,911Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance points to overnight radiational cooling under clear skies and light winds as the main driver pushing market-implied odds toward 17–18°C lows for Paris on August 9, with those outcomes capturing over two-thirds of trader consensus. A warm air mass from the preceding period of above-normal temperatures limits further drops, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind mixing explain the tight spread between the top probabilities. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly; final resolution hinges on official observations at reference stations, with the next high-resolution model updates expected to refine the exact threshold before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,911Data de Término
9 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble guidance points to overnight radiational cooling under clear skies and light winds as the main driver pushing market-implied odds toward 17–18°C lows for Paris on August 9, with those outcomes capturing over two-thirds of trader consensus. A warm air mass from the preceding period of above-normal temperatures limits further drops, while small differences in boundary-layer moisture and any late-model shifts in cloud cover or wind mixing explain the tight spread between the top probabilities. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, so current conditions reflect a modest positive anomaly; final resolution hinges on official observations at reference stations, with the next high-resolution model updates expected to refine the exact threshold before dawn.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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