Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models point to largely sunny, anticyclonic conditions over Paris on August 8, 2026, with daytime highs climbing toward 28°C. This setup favors clear overnight skies and efficient radiative cooling, positioning the minimum temperature near the typical August baseline of 15–18°C but potentially a degree or two cooler given limited cloud cover and moderate humidity. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 14°C as the modal outcome because traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs showing nocturnal drops to that level against historical precedent and the low chance of significant warm advection or increased cloudiness altering the diurnal range. Updated model guidance through the weekend will be the next key input for refining these odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 8 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 8 de agosto?
14°C 47%
15°C 20%
16°C 19%
17°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
8 ago 2026
11°C ou menos
9%
12°C
8%
13°C
12%
14°C
47%
15°C
20%
16°C
11%
17°C
14%
18°C
11%
19°C
8%
20°C
5%
21°C ou mais
2%
14°C 47%
15°C 20%
16°C 19%
17°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
8 ago 2026
11°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
9%
12°C
$0 Vol.
8%
13°C
$0 Vol.
12%
14°C
$5 Vol.
47%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$5 Vol.
11%
17°C
$27 Vol.
14%
18°C
$259 Vol.
11%
19°C
$254 Vol.
8%
20°C
$10 Vol.
5%
21°C ou mais
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models point to largely sunny, anticyclonic conditions over Paris on August 8, 2026, with daytime highs climbing toward 28°C. This setup favors clear overnight skies and efficient radiative cooling, positioning the minimum temperature near the typical August baseline of 15–18°C but potentially a degree or two cooler given limited cloud cover and moderate humidity. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 14°C as the modal outcome because traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs showing nocturnal drops to that level against historical precedent and the low chance of significant warm advection or increased cloudiness altering the diurnal range. Updated model guidance through the weekend will be the next key input for refining these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$580Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models point to largely sunny, anticyclonic conditions over Paris on August 8, 2026, with daytime highs climbing toward 28°C. This setup favors clear overnight skies and efficient radiative cooling, positioning the minimum temperature near the typical August baseline of 15–18°C but potentially a degree or two cooler given limited cloud cover and moderate humidity. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 14°C as the modal outcome because traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs showing nocturnal drops to that level against historical precedent and the low chance of significant warm advection or increased cloudiness altering the diurnal range. Updated model guidance through the weekend will be the next key input for refining these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$580Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models point to largely sunny, anticyclonic conditions over Paris on August 8, 2026, with daytime highs climbing toward 28°C. This setup favors clear overnight skies and efficient radiative cooling, positioning the minimum temperature near the typical August baseline of 15–18°C but potentially a degree or two cooler given limited cloud cover and moderate humidity. Market-implied probabilities concentrate on 14°C as the modal outcome because traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs showing nocturnal drops to that level against historical precedent and the low chance of significant warm advection or increased cloudiness altering the diurnal range. Updated model guidance through the weekend will be the next key input for refining these odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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