Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological agencies indicate a ridge of high pressure favoring daytime maxima near 29–31°C in Munich on August 8, well above the early-August climatological average of 23–25°C and positioning these bins as the market leaders with over 90% combined implied probability. Recent observations from similar early-August warm anomalies, including a 31°C reading on August 2, have reinforced trader confidence in above-normal temperatures driven by subsidence and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, though minor shifts in steering flow or convective timing could adjust outcomes by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 8 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 8 de agosto?
30°C 39%
29°C 29%
31°C 22%
32°C 6%
NOVO
$16,764 Vol.
NOVO
$16,764 Vol.
8 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
29%
30°C
39%
31°C
22%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 39%
29°C 29%
31°C 22%
32°C 6%
NOVO
$16,764 Vol.
NOVO
$16,764 Vol.
8 ago 2026
25°C or below
$735 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$550 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$735 Vol.
3%
28°C
$913 Vol.
4%
29°C
$4,458 Vol.
29%
30°C
$1,643 Vol.
39%
31°C
$2,460 Vol.
22%
32°C
$1,694 Vol.
6%
33°C
$539 Vol.
1%
34°C
$698 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$2,340 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological agencies indicate a ridge of high pressure favoring daytime maxima near 29–31°C in Munich on August 8, well above the early-August climatological average of 23–25°C and positioning these bins as the market leaders with over 90% combined implied probability. Recent observations from similar early-August warm anomalies, including a 31°C reading on August 2, have reinforced trader confidence in above-normal temperatures driven by subsidence and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, though minor shifts in steering flow or convective timing could adjust outcomes by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$16,764Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological agencies indicate a ridge of high pressure favoring daytime maxima near 29–31°C in Munich on August 8, well above the early-August climatological average of 23–25°C and positioning these bins as the market leaders with over 90% combined implied probability. Recent observations from similar early-August warm anomalies, including a 31°C reading on August 2, have reinforced trader confidence in above-normal temperatures driven by subsidence and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, though minor shifts in steering flow or convective timing could adjust outcomes by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,764Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from European meteorological agencies indicate a ridge of high pressure favoring daytime maxima near 29–31°C in Munich on August 8, well above the early-August climatological average of 23–25°C and positioning these bins as the market leaders with over 90% combined implied probability. Recent observations from similar early-August warm anomalies, including a 31°C reading on August 2, have reinforced trader confidence in above-normal temperatures driven by subsidence and reduced cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, though minor shifts in steering flow or convective timing could adjust outcomes by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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