Trader consensus for London's August 8 maximum clusters on 27–28°C, aligning with the Met Office's explicit 28°C forecast under above-average summer conditions. Ensemble model runs show modest spread from variable Atlantic high pressure positioning, afternoon cloud cover, and urban heat island effects, which can add 1–2°C locally but are tempered by potential cooler northerly flows. Short-range uncertainty in exact frontal timing keeps 26°C and 29°C viable, while historical August maxima at Heathrow station rarely exceed 30°C without stronger continental airflow. Updated model guidance expected later today could refine these implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 8 de agosto?
27°C 41%
28°C 32%
26°C 18%
29°C 8%
$11,237 Vol.
$11,237 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
18%
27°C
41%
28°C
32%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
28°C 32%
26°C 18%
29°C 8%
$11,237 Vol.
$11,237 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
18%
27°C
41%
28°C
32%
29°C
8%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for London's August 8 maximum clusters on 27–28°C, aligning with the Met Office's explicit 28°C forecast under above-average summer conditions. Ensemble model runs show modest spread from variable Atlantic high pressure positioning, afternoon cloud cover, and urban heat island effects, which can add 1–2°C locally but are tempered by potential cooler northerly flows. Short-range uncertainty in exact frontal timing keeps 26°C and 29°C viable, while historical August maxima at Heathrow station rarely exceed 30°C without stronger continental airflow. Updated model guidance expected later today could refine these implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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