Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warming trend over the Île-de-France region, with clear skies and light winds supporting daytime highs clustered near 30–31°C on August 8. Surface observations from recent days show a rebound from midweek instability, allowing greater solar insolation and reduced cloud cover that elevates maximum temperatures above seasonal norms of 25–27°C. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local guidance highlight minimal precipitation risk tomorrow, tightening the probability distribution around these values while leaving room for slight upward revisions if ridge strengthening occurs. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these consensus model outputs against historical August variability, with the 30–32°C band capturing the bulk of expected outcomes ahead of the final observational reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 8 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 8 de agosto?
31°C 44%
30°C 32%
32°C 21%
29°C 6%
NOVO
$13,274 Vol.
NOVO
$13,274 Vol.
8 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
32%
31°C
44%
32°C
21%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 32%
32°C 21%
29°C 6%
NOVO
$13,274 Vol.
NOVO
$13,274 Vol.
8 ago 2026
25°C or below
$425 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$642 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$701 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$631 Vol.
2%
29°C
$2,478 Vol.
6%
30°C
$2,742 Vol.
32%
31°C
$965 Vol.
44%
32°C
$2,947 Vol.
21%
33°C
$681 Vol.
2%
34°C
$514 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$549 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warming trend over the Île-de-France region, with clear skies and light winds supporting daytime highs clustered near 30–31°C on August 8. Surface observations from recent days show a rebound from midweek instability, allowing greater solar insolation and reduced cloud cover that elevates maximum temperatures above seasonal norms of 25–27°C. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local guidance highlight minimal precipitation risk tomorrow, tightening the probability distribution around these values while leaving room for slight upward revisions if ridge strengthening occurs. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these consensus model outputs against historical August variability, with the 30–32°C band capturing the bulk of expected outcomes ahead of the final observational reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$13,274Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warming trend over the Île-de-France region, with clear skies and light winds supporting daytime highs clustered near 30–31°C on August 8. Surface observations from recent days show a rebound from midweek instability, allowing greater solar insolation and reduced cloud cover that elevates maximum temperatures above seasonal norms of 25–27°C. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local guidance highlight minimal precipitation risk tomorrow, tightening the probability distribution around these values while leaving room for slight upward revisions if ridge strengthening occurs. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these consensus model outputs against historical August variability, with the 30–32°C band capturing the bulk of expected outcomes ahead of the final observational reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,274Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate a warming trend over the Île-de-France region, with clear skies and light winds supporting daytime highs clustered near 30–31°C on August 8. Surface observations from recent days show a rebound from midweek instability, allowing greater solar insolation and reduced cloud cover that elevates maximum temperatures above seasonal norms of 25–27°C. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local guidance highlight minimal precipitation risk tomorrow, tightening the probability distribution around these values while leaving room for slight upward revisions if ridge strengthening occurs. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighting these consensus model outputs against historical August variability, with the 30–32°C band capturing the bulk of expected outcomes ahead of the final observational reading.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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