**Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently point to a maximum temperature in Beijing on August 8 in the low 30s Celsius, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 31–33 °C.** Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 30–32 °C, with modest day-to-day variability driven by humidity, cloud cover, and weak steering flows rather than strong synoptic systems. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions keeping the daily peak below 34 °C and above 30 °C, which aligns with the observed concentration of trader probability around 32 °C (36 %) and the adjacent outcomes. Any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or timing of diurnal heating could nudge the realized high by 1 °C, but no major pattern shift appears imminent before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 8 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 8 de agosto?
32°C 36%
31°C 26%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
8 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
12%
31°C
26%
32°C
36%
33°C
16%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C ou mais
1%
32°C 36%
31°C 26%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
8 ago 2026
26°C ou menos
$688 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,064 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$67 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$226 Vol.
3%
30°C
$446 Vol.
12%
31°C
$127 Vol.
26%
32°C
$473 Vol.
36%
33°C
$724 Vol.
16%
34°C
$295 Vol.
4%
35°C
$176 Vol.
3%
36°C ou mais
$610 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently point to a maximum temperature in Beijing on August 8 in the low 30s Celsius, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 31–33 °C.** Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 30–32 °C, with modest day-to-day variability driven by humidity, cloud cover, and weak steering flows rather than strong synoptic systems. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions keeping the daily peak below 34 °C and above 30 °C, which aligns with the observed concentration of trader probability around 32 °C (36 %) and the adjacent outcomes. Any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or timing of diurnal heating could nudge the realized high by 1 °C, but no major pattern shift appears imminent before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,898Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently point to a maximum temperature in Beijing on August 8 in the low 30s Celsius, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 31–33 °C.** Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 30–32 °C, with modest day-to-day variability driven by humidity, cloud cover, and weak steering flows rather than strong synoptic systems. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions keeping the daily peak below 34 °C and above 30 °C, which aligns with the observed concentration of trader probability around 32 °C (36 %) and the adjacent outcomes. Any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or timing of diurnal heating could nudge the realized high by 1 °C, but no major pattern shift appears imminent before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,898Data de Término
8 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles currently point to a maximum temperature in Beijing on August 8 in the low 30s Celsius, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 31–33 °C.** Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 30–32 °C, with modest day-to-day variability driven by humidity, cloud cover, and weak steering flows rather than strong synoptic systems. Recent model runs show limited spread, with most solutions keeping the daily peak below 34 °C and above 30 °C, which aligns with the observed concentration of trader probability around 32 °C (36 %) and the adjacent outcomes. Any late adjustment in boundary-layer moisture or timing of diurnal heating could nudge the realized high by 1 °C, but no major pattern shift appears imminent before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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